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Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Egypt - Uganda

Basketball
Egypt
Egypt
77 : 70
Finished
Uganda
Uganda

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Egypt - Uganda July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Egypt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 68.9%
2 31.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Egypt
#37 ptsGP 52-3
Uganda
#45 ptsGP 50-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
84.0Points per game58.0
117.7Offensive rating71.5
81.2Defensive rating103.5
26.0Point differential-26.0
66.0Assists30.0
—Rebounds118.5
31.0%3-pointers, %16.0%

Team form

Egypt

Coach: Roy Rana

Overall WLLLW Net +12.7
Home LLW Net -22.0
Away WLW Net +30.0
Uganda
Overall LLLLL Net -48.0
Home LLL Net -50.0
Away LLL Net -44.0

Team stats

Egypt Overall · Home/Away Uganda
33.3%H 0.0% · A 50.0%Win %0.0%H 0.0% · A 0.0%
12.7H -22.0 · A 30.0Point differential-48.0H -50.0 · A -44.0
80.0H 72.0 · A 84.0Points per game64.3H 62.5 · A 68.0
73.7H 83.0 · A 69.0Conceded88.3H 87.5 · A 90.0
41.0%H 41.0% · A 41.0%FG, %35.0%H 30.5% · A 44.0%
33.3H 0.0 · A 50.01st half33.3H 50.0 · A 0.0
75.9H 74.1 · A 76.8Pace82.2H 79.8 · A 87.0
107.0H 114.0 · A 103.8Offensive rating79.0H 82.1 · A 73.5
98.5H 104.9 · A 95.6Defensive rating108.5H 112.7 · A 101.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Egypt Total (over) Uganda
80.0 Points per game 64.3
100.0%
O 70.5
33.3%
100.0%
O 71.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 72.5среднее
33.3%
66.7%
O 73.5
0.0%
66.7%
O 74.5
0.0%
66.7%
O 75.5
0.0%
66.7%
O 76.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 77.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Egypt — / Uganda —

Egypt Total (over) Uganda
33.3%
O 40.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 41.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 42.5
33.3%
0.0%
O 43.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Egypt 41.7 / Uganda —

Egypt Total (over) Uganda
66.7%
O 40.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 41.5среднее
0.0%
66.7%
O 42.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
0.0%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa

Team stats

Egypt
WWLLLLWLWW
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:77.6 : 76.4
3 place, 7 pts
Uganda
LLLLLLLLLL
W 0 • D 0 • L 10 (10)
Goals average:63.6 : 84.8
4 place, 5 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Egypt 4, draws 0, Uganda 0 (goals 353:252)
  • Uganda — Egypt2026-03-01 52:91
  • Egypt — Uganda2025-08-16 77:64
  • Egypt — Uganda2022-06-25 89:59
  • Egypt — Uganda2020-11-27 96:77

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Egypt
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Uganda
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Egypt
150 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 74.5
  • Concedes: 75.5
Uganda
149 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 60.5
  • Concedes: 88.5
Total line: 150.5 · projection from form: 149.5 · Over in 50% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Egypt - Uganda

Basketball, Египет - Уганда, 5 июля 2026: обзор matches, счет 77 : 70 ОТ, статистика and результаты, видео голов. ЧМ-2027 — Африка. Во сколько начало matches Египет - Уганда, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию matches.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 126.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 127.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% — —
— 1.86 53.8% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.86 53.8% — —
— 1.84 54.4% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 126.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 127.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 128.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 129.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 130.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 131.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 133.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 134.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 135.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 137.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 138.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 139.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 140.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 150.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% —
Under 150.5 1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3% 2.95 33.9% 12.20 8.2%
Match center
Egypt
W L
04.07 16:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Egypt 79:73 Angola
02.07 13:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Egypt 70:78 Mali
1 Wins
1 Losses
74.5 Scored
75.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Uganda
L L
04.07 13:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Uganda 59:82 Mali
02.07 16:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Uganda 62:95 Angola
0 Wins
2 Losses
60.5 Scored
88.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEgypt - Uganda

Egypt
0 matches total
Uganda
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Egypt
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Uganda
Egypt Team comparison Uganda
5 Games 5
2 Wins 0
3 Losses 5
389 Scored 314
372 Conceded 442
7 Points 5
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Египет Уганда 5 Игры 5 2 Победы 0 3 Поражения 5 389 Забито 314 372 Пропущено 442 7 Очки 5 Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 71% 15% 14% Double chance 43% 42% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289252' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');