Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Ruanda - Tunisia

Basketball
Ruanda
Ruanda
67 : 83
Finished
Tunisia
Tunisia
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Tunisia82%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Ruanda — odds 9.90 · edge +7.8% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruanda - Tunisia July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tunisia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.90 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 15.2%
2 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Ruanda
#45 ptsGP 50-5
Tunisia
#28 ptsGP 53-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0%Win %100.0%
66.0Points per game79.0
99.1Offensive rating112.4
118.6Defensive rating93.9
-13.0Point differential13.0
45.0Assists63.0
108.0Rebounds105.0
35.0%3-pointers, %42.0%

Team form

Ruanda
Overall LLLLL Net -20.7
Home LL Net -24.0
Away LLLL Net -19.0
Tunisia
Overall LWWLW Net +9.3
Home WW Net +26.0
Away LWLL Net +1.0

Team stats

Ruanda Overall · Home/Away Tunisia
0.0%H 0.0% · A 0.0%Win %66.7%H 100.0% · A 50.0%
-20.7H -24.0 · A -19.0Point differential9.3H 26.0 · A 1.0
68.3H 70.0 · A 67.5Points per game74.7H 79.0 · A 72.5
78.7H 82.0 · A 77.0Conceded70.0H 66.0 · A 72.0
36.7%H 34.0% · A 38.0%FG, %40.7%H 48.0% · A 37.0%
33.3H 0.0 · A 50.01st half66.7A 50.0
74.2H 70.7 · A 76.0Pace73.3H 66.4 · A 76.8
91.7H 94.6 · A 90.3Offensive rating100.2H 109.4 · A 96.2
105.6H 109.0 · A 103.9Defensive rating94.0H 102.5 · A 90.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Ruanda Total (over) Tunisia
68.3 Points per game 74.7
0.0%
O 70.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 71.5srednee
66.7%
0.0%
O 72.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 73.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 74.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 75.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 76.5
66.7%
0.0%
O 77.5
66.7%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa

Team stats

Ruanda
LLWLLLLLLL
W 1 • D 0 • L 9 (10)
Goals average:69.5 : 79.6
4 place, 4 pts
Tunisia
WLLLWLWWLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:69.7 : 75
2 place, 6 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Ruanda 0, draws 0, Tunisia 4 (goals 243:298)
  • Tunisia — Rwanda2025-11-29 79:66
  • Rwanda — Tunisia2022-07-03 66:76
  • Tunisia — Rwanda2022-02-27 65:51
  • Rwanda — Tunisia2017-09-09 60:78

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Ruanda - Tunisia

Basketball, Ruanda - Tunisia, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 67 : 83, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Ruanda - Tunisia, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 136.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.88 53.2%
1.92 52.1%
2.55 39.2%
2.60 38.5%
1.78 56.2%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 136.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 137.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 138.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 139.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 140.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 141.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 142.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2%
Over 143.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 2.15 46.5%
Over 144.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 145.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 142.5 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4%
Under 143.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
8.10 12.4% 9.90 10.1% 5.90 17.0% 9.00 11.1%
1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Ruanda
L
02.07 07:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Ruanda 63:89 Gvineya
0 Wins
1 Losses
63.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Tunisia
L
02.07 10:00 UTC Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Tunisia 81:84 Nigeria
0 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRuanda - Tunisia

Ruanda
0 matches total
Tunisia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ruanda
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Tunisia
Ruanda Team comparison Tunisia
4 Games 4
0 Wins 2
4 Losses 2
268 Scored 305
325 Conceded 294
4 Points 6
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Ruanda Tunisia 4 Games 4 0 Wins 2 4 Losses 2 268 Scored 305 325 Conceded 294 4 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 0% 0% 100% Double chance 0% 50% 50% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289276' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');