Match center
Start
03.07.2026 13:00 UTC
03.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Africa: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Nigeria - Gvineya
80
:
79
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nigeria - Gvineya July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Gvineya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / 2 1.48
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 9.2%
1
38.1%
2
61.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Nigeria
Gvineya
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Nigeria
Overall
WLLLW
Net -12.0
Home
WLLW
Net -4.0
Away
LW
Net -28.0
Gvineya
Overall
WWWLW
Net +23.3
Home
WWLW
Net +23.0
Away
WW
Net +24.0
Team stats
Nigeria
Overall · Home/Away
Gvineya
33.3%H 50.0% · A 0.0%Win %100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%
-12.0H -4.0 · A -28.0Point differential23.3H 23.0 · A 24.0
69.3H 76.5 · A 55.0Points per game72.3H 67.5 · A 82.0
75.3H 78.5 · A 69.0Conceded60.7H 56.0 · A 70.0
34.7%H 36.0% · A 32.0%FG, %38.7%H 35.5% · A 45.0%
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half—
79.1H 86.0 · A 65.2Pace67.6H 66.1 · A 70.7
89.0H 80.8 · A 111.5Offensive rating107.5H 109.0 · A 104.6
96.7H 87.8 · A 121.2Defensive rating90.2H 91.4 · A 87.7
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Nigeria
Total (over)
Gvineya
69.3
Points per game
72.3
66.7%
O 70.5srednee
33.3%
66.7%
O 71.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 72.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 73.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 74.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 75.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 76.5
33.3%
33.3%
O 77.5
33.3%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Nigeria — / Gvineya —
Nigeria
Total (over)
Gvineya
0.0%
O 40.5
33.3%
0.0%
O 41.5
33.3%
0.0%
O 42.5
33.3%
0.0%
O 43.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Nigeria — / Gvineya —
Nigeria
Total (over)
Gvineya
33.3%
O 40.5
0.0%
Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - Africa
Team stats
Nigeria
WWWWWLLLWW
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:79.6 : 74.4
3 place, 6 pts
Gvineya
LWWLWLWWWW
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:73.2 : 64.2
1 place, 8 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Nigeria 2, draws 0, Gvineya 1 (goals 206:198)
- Guinea — Nigeria2025-11-29 69:55
- Guinea — Nigeria2023-02-25 59:62
- Nigeria — Guinea2022-08-27 89:70
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Nigeria - Gvineya
Basketball, Nigeria - Gvineya, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 80 : 79, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Africa. Vo skolko nachalo matches Nigeria - Gvineya, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.48
Fonbet · line only
1
2.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.91 52.4% | — | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.81 55.3% | — | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 155.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 156.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 154.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 155.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 156.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | 1.47 68.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 1.52 65.8% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 2.48 40.3% |
Match center
Nigeria
W
Nigeria
84:81
Tunisia
1
Wins
0
Losses
84.0
Scored
81.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Gvineya
W
Gvineya
89:63
Ruanda
1
Wins
0
Losses
89.0
Scored
63.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNigeria - Gvineya
Nigeria
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Nigeria
Team 2
Gvineya
Nigeria
Team comparison
Gvineya
4
Games
4
2
Wins
4
2
Losses
0
292
Scored
306
307
Conceded
245
6
Points
8
Nigeria Gvineya 4 Games 4 2 Wins 4 2 Losses 0 292 Scored 306 307 Conceded 245 6 Points 8 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 43% 0% 57% Double chance 22% 49% 29% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289282' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');