AMERIKA: Championship Worlda - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Bagamskie ostrova - Puerto-Riko
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Bagamskie ostrova — 59%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
2Puerto-Riko — odds 3.20 · edge +9.4% · 3 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bagamskie ostrova - Puerto-Riko 5 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
- Scores: 123
- Concedes: 74
- Scores: 84
- Concedes: 110
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Bagamskie ostrova - Puerto-Riko
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -3.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П1 -6.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -10.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 177.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 178.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 179.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 182.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 183.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 184.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 185.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 186.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТМ 180.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| ТМ 181.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 10.00 10.0% | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 1.01 99.0% | 2.96 33.8% |
Puerto-Riko
Full head-to-head historyBagamskie ostrova - Puerto-Riko