Match center
Start
05.07.2026 19:10 UTC
05.07.2026 19:10 UTC
Finished
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Venezuela - Chile
66
:
78
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Venezuela - Chile 5 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Chile. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
8.4%
2
91.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Venezuela
Coach: Fernando Duró
Overall
LWLLW
Net -11.5
Home
LL
Net -30.0
Away
WLLW
Net -5.3
Chile
Overall
WLLLL
Net +13.8
Home
LLL
Net +7.2
Away
WLW
Net +24.7
Team stats
Venezuela
Overall · Home/Away
Chile
25.0%H 0.0% · A 33.3%Win %50.0%H 40.0% · A 66.7%
-11.5H -30.0 · A -5.3Point differential13.8H 7.2 · A 24.7
80.5H 88.0 · A 78.0Points per game79.0H 78.2 · A 80.3
86.3H 103.0 · A 80.7Conceded72.1H 74.6 · A 68.0
45.3%H 49.0% · A 44.0%FG, %42.8%H 42.8% · A 42.7%
50.0H 0.0 · A 66.71st half50.0H 40.0 · A 66.7
73.0H 71.3 · A 73.5Pace73.7H 73.7 · A 73.6
110.8H 115.3 · A 109.3Offensive rating107.1H 107.3 · A 106.7
118.7H 123.6 · A 117.2Defensive rating97.7H 97.9 · A 97.4
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Venezuela
Total (over)
Chile
80.5
Points per game
79.0
75.0%
O 76.5
62.5%
75.0%
O 77.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 78.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 79.5среднее
37.5%
50.0%
O 80.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 81.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 83.5
25.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Venezuela 41.5 / Chile —
Venezuela
Total (over)
Chile
50.0%
O 40.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 41.5среднее
25.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Venezuela — / Chile 43.5
Venezuela
Total (over)
Chile
50.0%
O 40.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 41.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 42.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 43.5среднее
50.0%
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Venezuela
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Chile
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Venezuela
191 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 88
- Concedes: 103
Chile
160 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 81
- Concedes: 79
Total line: 154.5 · projection from form: 175.5 · Over in 100% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Venezuela - Chile
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1
1.53
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 136.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -3.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 +10.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +11.5 | — | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 +12.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| П2 +13.5 | — | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| П2 +14.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +15.5 | — | — | 2.70 37.0% |
| П2 +16.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.64 61.0% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 136.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 137.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 138.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 139.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 140.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 142.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 143.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 144.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 145.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 147.5 | — | — | 3.00 33.3% |
| ТБ 148.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 149.5 | — | — | 2.70 37.0% |
| ТБ 155.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 155.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.52 65.8% | 11.00 9.1% | 1.56 64.1% |
| П2 | 2.35 42.6% | 2.35 42.6% | 1.01 99.0% | 2.38 42.0% |
Match center
Venezuela
L
Venezuela
88:103
Brazil
0
Wins
1
Losses
88.0
Scored
103.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Chile
W
Chile
81:79
Colombia
1
Wins
0
Losses
81.0
Scored
79.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVenezuela - Chile
Venezuela
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals