Match center
Start
06.07.2026 00:00 UTC
06.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Mexico - USA
93
:
94
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2USA — 74%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mexico - USA 6 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: USA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / 2 1.63
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 6.8%
1
42.6%
2
57.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Mexico
USA
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Mexico
7-3LWWWWWLWWL
points for 91.9points against 81.4
USA
7-3WLWWLWWWLW
points for 95.7points against 83.9
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Mexico
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
USA
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Mexico
177 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 98
- Concedes: 79
USA
163 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 82
- Concedes: 81
Total line: 180.5 · projection from form: 170 · Over in 0% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Mexico - USA
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.63
Fonbet · line only
1
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 +9.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +10.5 | — | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 +11.5 | — | — | 3.10 32.3% |
| П2 +12.5 | — | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| П2 +13.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +14.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 +15.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| П2 +16.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| П2 +17.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | — | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 +4.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 174.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 175.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 176.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 177.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 178.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 179.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 181.5 | — | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 182.5 | — | — | 3.15 31.8% |
| ТБ 183.5 | — | — | 3.10 32.3% |
| ТБ 184.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 185.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 186.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 187.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТМ 180.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 3.97 25.2% |
| П2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.24 80.7% |
Match center
Mexico
W
Mexico
98:79
Nikaragua
1
Wins
0
Losses
98.0
Scored
79.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
USA
W
USA
82:81
Dominican Republic
1
Wins
0
Losses
82.0
Scored
81.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMexico - USA
Mexico
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals