AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Bagamskie ostrova - Jamaica

Basketball
B
Bagamskie ostrova
123 : 74
Finished
Jamaica
Jamaica
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Bagamskie ostrova86%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Jamaica — odds 9.70 · edge +3.5% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bagamskie ostrova - Jamaica July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bagamskie ostrova. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
99.0Points per game96.0
127.2Offensive rating126.3
123.3Defensive rating130.3
3.0Point differential-3.0
57.0Assists42.0
114.0Rebounds102.0
38.0%3-pointers, %43.0%

Team form

Bagamskie ostrova
Overall LWLLL Net -22.0
Home LL Net -72.0
Away LWLL Net -5.3
Jamaica
Overall LLWWL Net -4.3
Home LLWL Net -23.0
Away WW Net +20.7

Team stats

Bagamskie ostrova Overall · Home/Away Jamaica
25.0%H 0.0% · A 33.3%Win %57.1%H 25.0% · A 100.0%
-22.0H -72.0 · A -5.3Point differential-4.3H -23.0 · A 20.7
82.0H 75.0 · A 84.3Points per game86.9H 82.5 · A 92.7
93.0H 111.0 · A 87.0Conceded89.0H 94.0 · A 82.3
47.0%H 44.0% · A 48.0%FG, %42.0%H 41.3% · A 43.0%
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half57.1H 25.0
77.6H 78.3 · A 77.3Pace81.9H 79.3 · A 85.6
107.1H 105.6 · A 107.7Offensive rating106.1H 108.5 · A 103.0
121.5H 119.7 · A 122.1Defensive rating108.7H 111.2 · A 105.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Bagamskie ostrova Total (over) Jamaica
82.0 Points per game 86.9
50.0%
O 80.5
71.4%
50.0%
O 81.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 82.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 83.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 84.5srednee
57.1%
50.0%
O 85.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 86.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 87.5
57.1%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Bagamskie ostrova — / Jamaica 46.9

Bagamskie ostrova Total (over) Jamaica
25.0%
O 41.5
71.4%
25.0%
O 42.5
57.1%
25.0%
O 43.5
57.1%
25.0%
O 44.5srednee
57.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Bagamskie ostrova 42.8 / Jamaica —

Bagamskie ostrova Total (over) Jamaica
50.0%
O 40.5
57.1%
50.0%
O 41.5
42.9%
50.0%
O 42.5srednee
42.9%
50.0%
O 43.5
28.6%

Form and head-to-head • World Cup Qualifications - America

Team stats

Bagamskie ostrova
LWLLLLLLWL
W 2 • D 0 • L 8 (10)
Goals average:83.2 : 93.7
4 place, 5 pts
Jamaica
WWLL
W 2 • D 0 • L 2 (4)
Goals average:91.5 : 94.5
2 place, 6 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Bagamskie ostrova 1, draws 0, Jamaica 0 (goals 99:96)
  • Jamaica — Bahamas2026-02-26 96:99

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Bagamskie ostrova - Jamaica

Basketball, Bagamskie ostrova - Jamaica, 4 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 123 : 74, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Amerika. Vo skolko nachalo matches Bagamskie ostrova - Jamaica, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.08 48.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.82 55.0%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 101.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 177.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 183.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 184.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 185.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 179.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 182.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 183.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 185.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2%
8.60 11.6% 7.80 12.8% 8.50 11.8% 9.70 10.3%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bagamskie ostrova
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Jamaica
Bagamskie ostrova Team comparison Jamaica
4 Games 4
1 Wins 2
3 Losses 2
328 Scored 366
372 Conceded 378
5 Points 6
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Bagamskie ostrova Jamaica 4 Games 4 1 Wins 2 3 Losses 2 328 Scored 366 372 Conceded 378 5 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 50% 0% 50% Double chance 25% 50% 25% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289368' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');