AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
04.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Mexico - Nikaragua

Basketball
Mexico
Mexico
98 : 79
Finished
Nikaragua
Nikaragua

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Nikaragua July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Mexico
#36 ptsGP 42-2
Nikaragua
#44 ptsGP 40-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins0
93.8Points on average68.8

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 162.5 (points)

Team form

Mexico
7-3LWWWWWLWWL
points for 91.9points against 81.4
Nikaragua
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 71.6points against 94.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Mexico - Nikaragua

Basketball, Mexico - Nikaragua, 4 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 98 : 79, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Amerika. Vo skolko nachalo matches Mexico - Nikaragua, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 101.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 102.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 103.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 104.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.63 61.4%
Over 166.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 167.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 165.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 167.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Nikaragua

Mexico
0 matches total
Nikaragua
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Mexico
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Nikaragua
Mexico Team comparison Nikaragua
4 Games 4
2 Wins 0
2 Losses 4
361 Scored 293
375 Conceded 410
6 Points 4
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