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AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 19:10 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 19:10 UTC
Finished

AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Venezuela - Chile

Basketball
Venezuela
Venezuela
66 : 78
Finished
Chile
Chile

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venezuela - Chile July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chile. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
72.0Points per game68.0
94.7Offensive rating84.0
89.4Defensive rating89.0
4.0Point differential-4.0
33.0Assists57.0
144.0Rebounds69.0
29.0%3-pointers, %37.0%

Team form

Venezuela

Coach: Fernando Duró

Overall LWLLW Net -11.5
Home LL Net -30.0
Away WLLW Net -5.3
Chile
Overall WLLLL Net +13.8
Home LLL Net +7.2
Away WLW Net +24.7

Team stats

Venezuela Overall · Home/Away Chile
25.0%H 0.0% · A 33.3%Win %50.0%H 40.0% · A 66.7%
-11.5H -30.0 · A -5.3Point differential13.8H 7.2 · A 24.7
80.5H 88.0 · A 78.0Points per game79.0H 78.2 · A 80.3
86.3H 103.0 · A 80.7Conceded72.1H 74.6 · A 68.0
45.3%H 49.0% · A 44.0%FG, %42.8%H 42.8% · A 42.7%
50.0H 0.0 · A 66.71st half50.0H 40.0 · A 66.7
73.0H 71.3 · A 73.5Pace73.7H 73.7 · A 73.6
110.8H 115.3 · A 109.3Offensive rating107.1H 107.3 · A 106.7
118.7H 123.6 · A 117.2Defensive rating97.7H 97.9 · A 97.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Venezuela Total (over) Chile
80.5 Points per game 79.0
75.0%
O 76.5
62.5%
75.0%
O 77.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 78.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 79.5среднее
37.5%
50.0%
O 80.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 81.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 83.5
25.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Venezuela 41.5 / Chile —

Venezuela Total (over) Chile
50.0%
O 40.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 41.5среднее
25.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Venezuela — / Chile 43.5

Venezuela Total (over) Chile
50.0%
O 40.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 41.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 42.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 43.5среднее
50.0%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Venezuela
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Chile
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Venezuela
191 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 88
  • Concedes: 103
Chile
160 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 81
  • Concedes: 79
Total line: 154.5 · projection from form: 175.5 · Over in 100% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 19:10 UTC
Match center

Venezuela - Chile

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 136.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.64 61.0%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 136.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 137.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 138.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 139.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 140.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 141.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 142.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 143.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 144.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 145.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 146.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 147.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 148.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 149.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 155.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 155.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 11.00 9.1% 1.56 64.1%
2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 1.01 99.0% 2.38 42.0%
Match center
Venezuela
L
04.07 22:10 UTC AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Venezuela 88:103 Brazil
0 Wins
1 Losses
88.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Chile
W
03.07 21:30 UTC AMERIKA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Chile 81:79 Colombia
1 Wins
0 Losses
81.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVenezuela - Chile

Venezuela
0 matches total
Chile
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history