Argentina. Torneo Federal
Atlético Caza y Pesca - River Plate
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 River Plate — 51%
Model estimate: win Atlético Caza y Pesca 48.8%, win River Plate 51.2%. Model favourite — River Plate.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atlético Caza y Pesca - River Plate 18 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / 2 2.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Atlético Caza y Pesca - River Plate
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 147.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 148.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| ТБ 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 147.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТМ 148.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| ТМ 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.62 61.7% |
| П2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.15 46.5% |
Atlético Caza y Pesca
River Plate
Full head-to-head historyAtlético Caza y Pesca - River Plate