AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
New Zealand - Philippines
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1New Zealand — 79%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction New Zealand - Philippines July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.83 / 2 1.87
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Coach: Pero Cameron
Coach: Vincent Reyes
Team stats
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Points by period
Points per game: New Zealand 43.5 / Philippines 40.0
Points per game: New Zealand — / Philippines —
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New Zealand - Philippines
Basketball, New Zealand - Philippines, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 106 : 102 OT, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Asia and Okeaniya. Vo skolko nachalo matches New Zealand - Philippines, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.62 61.7% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 164.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 165.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 166.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 167.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 165.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 168.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.19 84.0% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 1.87 53.5% | 4.60 21.7% |
Full head-to-head historyNew Zealand - Philippines
Match history
New Zealand Philippines 4 Games 4 2 Wins 2 Losses 2 324 Scored 314 296 Conceded 279 6 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 67% 11% 22% Double chance 39% 44% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289472' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');