AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
03.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

New Zealand - Philippines

Basketball
New Zealand
New Zealand
106 : 102
Finished
Philippines
Philippines
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1New Zealand79%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New Zealand - Philippines July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New Zealand. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.83 / 2 1.87

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 50.5%
2 49.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

New Zealand
#110 ptsGP 55-0
Philippines
#36 ptsGP 42-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
81.5Points per game76.0
95.4Offensive rating99.0
89.0Defensive rating106.2
5.5Point differential-5.5
58.5Assists49.5
126.0Rebounds115.5
40.0%3-pointers, %25.0%

Team form

New Zealand

Coach: Pero Cameron

Overall WWLLL Net +14.0
Home LW Net -4.0
Away WWLL Net +20.0
Philippines

Coach: Vincent Reyes

Overall LLWWW Net +17.5
Home LLWWW Net -4.0
Away W

Team stats

New Zealand Overall · Home/Away Philippines
50.0%H 0.0% · A 66.7%Win %50.0%H 33.3% · A 100.0%
14.0H -4.0 · A 20.0Point differential17.5H -4.0
81.0H 77.0 · A 82.3Points per game78.5H 75.7 · A 87.0
74.0H 79.0 · A 72.3Conceded69.8H 77.7 · A 46.0
40.3%H 40.0% · A 40.3%FG, %41.8%H 40.7% · A 45.0%
50.0H 0.0 · A 66.71st half50.0H 33.3
79.2H 81.0 · A 78.6Pace76.5H 77.0 · A 75.0
102.7H 99.3 · A 103.9Offensive rating102.6H 101.7 · A 105.4
93.8H 90.7 · A 94.9Defensive rating91.2H 90.3 · A 93.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

New Zealand Total (over) Philippines
81.0 Points per game 78.5
75.0%
O 76.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 77.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 78.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 79.5srednee
50.0%
25.0%
O 80.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 83.5
50.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: New Zealand 43.5 / Philippines 40.0

New Zealand Total (over) Philippines
50.0%
O 40.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 41.5srednee
25.0%
50.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: New Zealand — / Philippines —

New Zealand Total (over) Philippines
25.0%
O 40.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 43.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

New Zealand - Philippines

Basketball, New Zealand - Philippines, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 106 : 102 OT, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Asia and Okeaniya. Vo skolko nachalo matches New Zealand - Philippines, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 159.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 160.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 161.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 162.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 163.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 164.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.25 80.0%
Over 166.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 167.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 168.5 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Under 168.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.19 84.0%
4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7% 1.87 53.5% 4.60 21.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew Zealand - Philippines

New Zealand
0 matches total
Philippines
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 New Zealand
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Philippines
New Zealand Team comparison Philippines
4 Games 4
2 Wins 2
2 Losses 2
324 Scored 314
296 Conceded 279
6 Points 6
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New Zealand Philippines 4 Games 4 2 Wins 2 Losses 2 324 Scored 314 296 Conceded 279 6 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 67% 11% 22% Double chance 39% 44% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289472' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');