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AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Saudi Arabia - Qatar

Basketball
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
73 : 76
Finished
Qatar
Qatar
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Saudi Arabia — 77%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saudi Arabia - Qatar July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saudi Arabia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 53.8%
2 46.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Saudi Arabia
#28 ptsGP 53-2
Qatar
#38 ptsGP 53-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins1
50.0%Win %50.0%
82.0Points per game81.0
91.3Offensive rating98.7
90.2Defensive rating99.9
1.0Point differential-1.0
57.0Assists43.5
87.0Rebounds97.5
43.0%3-pointers, %33.5%

Team form

Saudi Arabia
Overall WLWWL Net +12.0
Home WL Net +48.0
Away WLWW
Qatar
Overall LWWLL Net +11.0
Home LWLL Net +12.7
Away WL Net +6.0

Team stats

Saudi Arabia Overall · Home/Away Qatar
75.0%H 100.0% · A 66.7%Win %50.0%H 33.3% · A 100.0%
12.0H 48.0 · A 0.0Point differential11.0H 12.7 · A 6.0
76.5H 75.0 · A 77.0Points per game84.8H 84.3 · A 86.0
70.5H 51.0 · A 77.0Conceded79.3H 78.0 · A 83.0
48.5%H 50.0% · A 48.0%FG, %47.5%H 49.0% · A 43.0%
75.0A 66.71st half25.0H 33.3 · A 0.0
71.4H 72.4 · A 71.1Pace72.4H 71.1 · A 76.3
107.2H 105.4 · A 107.8Offensive rating115.1H 116.6 · A 110.7
98.8H 97.1 · A 99.3Defensive rating107.6H 109.0 · A 103.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Saudi Arabia Total (over) Qatar
76.5 Points per game 84.8
50.0%
O 77.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 78.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 79.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 80.5среднее
50.0%
25.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 83.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 84.5
50.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Saudi Arabia 41.8 / Qatar —

Saudi Arabia Total (over) Qatar
75.0%
O 40.5
25.0%
75.0%
O 41.5среднее
25.0%
75.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Saudi Arabia — / Qatar 49.5

Saudi Arabia Total (over) Qatar
0.0%
O 40.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 41.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 42.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 43.5среднее
100.0%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Saudi Arabia
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Qatar
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Saudi Arabia
168 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 84
  • Concedes: 84
Qatar
143.5 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 72.5
  • Concedes: 71
Total line: 159.5 · projection from form: 155.8 · Over in 75% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Saudi Arabia - Qatar

Basketball, Saudi Arabia - Катар, 5 июля 2026: обзор matches, счет 73 : 76, статистика and результаты, видео голов. ЧМ-2027 — Азия and Океания. Во сколько начало matches Saudi Arabia - Катар, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 136.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% —
1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% —
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% —
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% —
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 135.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 136.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 156.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 157.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
Over 158.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 159.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 156.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 157.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
Under 158.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 159.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.72 58.1% 1.23 81.3%
4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 2.00 50.0% 4.03 24.8%
Match center
Saudi Arabia
L
02.07 15:00 UTC AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Saudi Arabia 82:88 Livan
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Qatar
W
02.07 10:30 UTC AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Qatar 65:56 India
1 Wins
0 Losses
65.0 Scored
56.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaudi Arabia - Qatar

Saudi Arabia
0 matches total
Qatar
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Saudi Arabia
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Qatar
Saudi Arabia Team comparison Qatar
5 Games 5
3 Wins 3
2 Losses 2
388 Scored 404
370 Conceded 373
8 Points 8
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Saudi Arabia Катар 5 Игры 5 3 Победы 3 2 Поражения 2 388 Забито 404 370 Пропущено 373 8 Очки 8 Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 25% 50% 25% Double chance 38% 24% 38% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289464' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');