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AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Australia - Philippines

Basketball
Australia
Australia
92 : 49
Finished
Philippines
Philippines

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Australia - Philippines July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Australia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Australia
#18 ptsGP 44-0
Philippines
#36 ptsGP 42-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
88.5Points per game63.0
169.8Offensive rating86.7
120.9Defensive rating121.8
25.5Point differential-25.5
49.5Assists51.0
—Rebounds109.5
36.5%3-pointers, %26.0%

Team form

Australia

Coach: Brian Goorjian

Overall WWWWW Net +23.5
Home WW Net +10.0
Away WWWW Net +28.0
Philippines

Coach: Vincent Reyes

Overall LLWWW Net +17.5
Home LLWWW Net -4.0
Away W

Team stats

Australia Overall · Home/Away Philippines
100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%Win %50.0%H 33.3% · A 100.0%
23.5H 10.0 · A 28.0Point differential17.5H -4.0
87.3H 84.0 · A 88.3Points per game78.5H 75.7 · A 87.0
75.5H 79.0 · A 74.3Conceded69.8H 77.7 · A 46.0
42.3%H 44.0% · A 41.7%FG, %41.8%H 40.7% · A 45.0%
75.0H 0.01st half50.0H 33.3
77.1H 78.9 · A 76.4Pace76.5H 77.0 · A 75.0
113.3H 110.4 · A 114.3Offensive rating102.6H 101.7 · A 105.4
98.1H 95.5 · A 98.9Defensive rating91.2H 90.3 · A 93.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Australia Total (over) Philippines
87.3 Points per game 78.5
75.0%
O 79.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 80.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 82.5среднее
50.0%
75.0%
O 83.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 84.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 85.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 86.5
50.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Australia 41.3 / Philippines 40.0

Australia Total (over) Philippines
50.0%
O 40.5среднее
25.0%
50.0%
O 41.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
25.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Australia 46.0 / Philippines —

Australia Total (over) Philippines
75.0%
O 40.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 43.5среднее
50.0%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Australia
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Philippines
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Australia
176 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 124
  • Concedes: 52
Philippines
208 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 102
  • Concedes: 106

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Australia - Philippines

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.07 48.3%
2.12 47.2%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.90 34.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.90 34.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.00 50.0%
2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 101.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 103.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 106.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 108.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 133.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 134.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 135.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 137.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 138.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 139.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 140.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 141.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 142.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 143.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 144.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 145.5 3.10 32.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
14.00 7.1%
Match center
Australia
W
03.07 08:30 UTC AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Australia 124:52 Guam
1 Wins
0 Losses
124.0 Scored
52.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Philippines
L
03.07 05:00 UTC AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Philippines 102:106 New Zealand
0 Wins
1 Losses
102.0 Scored
106.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAustralia - Philippines

Australia
0 matches total
Philippines
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history