Match center
Start
05.07.2026 08:30 UTC
05.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished
AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
South Korea - Japan
81
:
79
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction South Korea - Japan July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: South Korea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 6.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1
86.2%
2
13.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
South Korea
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Japan
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
South Korea
162 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 80
- Concedes: 82
Japan
165 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 92
- Concedes: 73
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
South Korea - Japan
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.60
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 141.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Over 142.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 1.40 71.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 141.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 142.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 144.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 145.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 146.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 147.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.37 73.0% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 152.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 153.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 154.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 156.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 6.60 15.2% |
Match center
South Korea
L
South Korea
80:82
Taiwan
0
Wins
1
Losses
80.0
Scored
82.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Japan
W
Japan
92:73
China
1
Wins
0
Losses
92.0
Scored
73.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySouth Korea - Japan
South Korea
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals