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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
25.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors

International Basketball
Logan Thunder
Logan Thunder
- : -
Not started
Mackay Meteors
Mackay Meteors
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Logan Thunder70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Logan Thunder): model 51% · market 69% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Logan Thunder ✓ Pick70.4%
market69%
2 · Mackay Meteors29.6%
market31%

Model estimate: win Logan Thunder 70.4%, win Mackay Meteors 29.6%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Logan Thunder70%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Logan Thunder (odds1.28) Score 83:77 Under 193.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.85) confidence 70%
  • Logan Tander: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • Model backs Logan Tander: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 193.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 193.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Logan Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 68.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.30 → 1.30
Pobeditel P2 3.20 → 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Logan Thunder
9-1WLWWWWWWWW
points for 86.2points against 73.7
Mackay Meteors

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Logan Thunder 71.9% 70.4% market and model agree
Mackay Meteors 28.1% 29.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 70.4% / 29.6% probabilities
Rating 1,595 / 1,500 Logan Thunder / Mackay Meteors
RD 156 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,283-1,907 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 29.6%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 70.4%
Total
Over 193.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 193.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
Under 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.32 75.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
2.85 35.1% 3.40 29.4% 2.95 33.9% 3.29 30.4%
Match center
Logan Thunder
W L L W W
18.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 95:75 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
11.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 84:91 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 82:93 Kerns MarlinsKerns Marlins
04.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 101:86 Northside Wizards (Zh)Northside Wizards (Zh)
03.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 112:85 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
3 Wins
2 Losses
94.8 Scored
86.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Mackay Meteors
W L L
18.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 95:75 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
11.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 84:91 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 82:93 Kerns MarlinsKerns Marlins
1 Wins
2 Losses
87.0 Scored
86.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage