Australia. Championship NBL 1
Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Logan Thunder — 70%
Pure model vs market (1 · Logan Thunder): model 51% · market 69% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Logan Thunder 70.4%, win Mackay Meteors 29.6%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Logan Thunder — 70%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Logan Tander: forma VPPVV (3-2)
- • Model backs Logan Tander: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 193.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 193.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors July 25, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 193.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 193.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.32 75.8% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.29 30.4% |
Logan Thunder
Ipswich Force
Taunsvill Khit
Kerns Marlins
Northside Wizards (Zh)
South West Metro Pirates
Mackay Meteors
Ipswich Force
Taunsvill Khit
Kerns Marlins
Full head-to-head historyLogan Thunder - Mackay Meteors
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form