Australia. NBL 1

18.07.2026 08:00 UTC

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Australia. NBL 1

Townsville Heat - Rockhampton Rockets

Basketball

Townsville Heat

- : -

Not started

Rockhampton Rockets

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Townsville Heat — 69%

1 · Townsville Heat ✓ Прогноз69.2%

market59%

2 · Rockhampton Rockets30.8%

market41%

Model estimate: win Townsville Heat 69.2%, win Rockhampton Rockets 30.8%. Model favourite — Townsville Heat.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Townsville Heat (odds1.45) Score 83:77 confidence 69%

• Taunsvill Khit: forma VVPPP (2-3)
• Rokkhempton Rokets: forma PPPPP (0-5)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Taunsvill Khit: probability 69% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Townsville Heat - Rockhampton Rockets July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Townsville Heat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 ✓ Прогноз 58.9%

2 41.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins2

86.0Points on average77.1

Head-to-head matches: 9 · average total 163.1 (points)

Team form

Townsville Heat

7-3LWWLWWWLWW

points for 85.7points against 76.1

Rockhampton Rockets

0-5LLLLL

points for 94.4points against 106.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center

Start 18.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Townsville Heat - Rockhampton Rockets

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Present in data

Form Match Participants H2H Overview

More needed

Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Line BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Townsville Heat - 69.2% model pick

Rockhampton Rockets - 30.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 69.2% / 30.8% probabilities

Rating 1,459 / 757 Townsville Heat / Rockhampton Rockets

RD 180 / 175 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,099-1,819 / 407-1,107 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 30.8%

1 1.57 Fonbet · value +8.6% · model 69.2%

Total

Over 196.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Under 196.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
—	1.85 54.1%	—
1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	—
—	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%	—	—
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	1.85 54.1%	—
—	1.85 54.1%	—
—	1.85 54.1%	—

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 196.5	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%
Under 196.5	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.69 59.2%	1.57 63.7%	1.69 59.2%
	2.04 49.0%	2.25 44.4%	2.22 45.1%

Match center

Townsville Heat

W W L L L

11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 91:84 Logan Tander

04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 102:90 Rokkhempton Rokets

03.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 77:95 Mackay Meteors

13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 87:90 North Gold Coast Seahawks

07.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 101:117 Sautern Distrikt Spartans

2 Wins

3 Losses

91.6 Scored

95.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Rockhampton Rockets

L L L L L

17.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Rockhampton Rockets 91:116 Kerns Marlins

11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Rockhampton Rockets 103:111 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks

04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Rockhampton Rockets 90:102 Taunsvill Khit

12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Rockhampton Rockets 85:118 Kerns Marlins

07.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Rockhampton Rockets 106:112 Ipswich Force

0 Wins

5 Losses

95.0 Scored

111.8 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTownsville Heat - Rockhampton Rockets

Townsville Heat

1 matches total

Rockhampton Rockets

Townsville Heat: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rockhampton Rockets: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Taunsvill Khit 102:90 (04.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 192 goals (102:90, 04.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Taunsvill Khit

102:90

Rokkhempton Rokets