Match center
Start
10.07.2026 08:30 UTC
10.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. NBL 1
Mount Gambier Pioneers - Keilor Thunder
69
:
102
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Keilor Thunder July 10, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Keilor Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / 2 1.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 4.1%
1
41.8%
2
58.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Mount Gambier Pioneers
1-4LLLLW
points for 85.3points against 91.1
Keilor Thunder
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
points for 86.8points against 74.3
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers - Keilor Thunder
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.61
market consensus · line only
1
2.23
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 182.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Over 183.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 182.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 183.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 184.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Over 185.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 182.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 183.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 184.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Under 185.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| 1.56 64.1% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.65 60.6% |
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
W
L
L
L
L
Mount Gambier Pioneers
88:70
Bendigo Breyvs
Bendigo Breyvs
Mount Gambier Pioneers
76:97
Noks
Noks
Mount Gambier Pioneers
75:77
Gilong
Gilong
Mount Gambier Pioneers
91:104
Northern Tasmania
Northern Tasmania
Mount Gambier Pioneers
95:97
Ringvud
Ringvud
1
Wins
4
Losses
85.0
Scored
89.0
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Keilor Thunder
L
W
W
W
L
Keilor Thunder
66:73
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
Keilor Thunder
78:67
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
Keilor Thunder
87:78
Sandringkhem Seybers
Sandringkhem Seybers
Keilor Thunder
116:98
Ballarat
Ballarat
Keilor Thunder
80:95
Melburn Taygers
Melburn Taygers
3
Wins
2
Losses
85.4
Scored
82.2
Conceded
60%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMount Gambier Pioneers - Keilor Thunder
Mount Gambier Pioneers
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals