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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
30.05.2026 08:45 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors

Basketball
Central Districts Lions
Central Districts Lions
- : -
Finished
Woodville Warriors
Woodville Warriors

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Central Districts Lions. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 61.0%
2 39.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Central Districts Lions
3-2WLWWL
points for 90.5points against 92.5
Woodville Warriors
4-1WWWWL
points for 95.6points against 77.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 08:45 UTC
Match center

Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.85 54.1%
2.65 37.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.85 35.1%
2.70 37.0%
2.50 40.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.73 57.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 156.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 157.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 158.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 159.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 160.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 161.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 162.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 163.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 164.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 167.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 168.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 169.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 170.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 172.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 173.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
2.35 42.6%