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Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL1 Central - Women

South Adelaide Panthers - Southern Tigers

Basketball
South Adelaide Panthers
South Adelaide Panthers
66 : 55
Finished
Southern Tigers
Southern Tigers
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1South Adelaide Panthers — 88%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction South Adelaide Panthers - Southern Tigers July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: South Adelaide Panthers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.07 / 2 9.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins3
0.0%Win %100.0%
75.7Points per game94.7
94.6Offensive rating120.2
118.3Defensive rating96.1
-19.0Point differential19.0
52.0Assists72.0
79.0Rebounds107.0
25.7%3-pointers, %37.3%

Team form

South Adelaide Panthers
Overall LLLLL Net -31.6
Home LLL Net -30.7
Away LLL Net -32.4
Southern Tigers
Overall WWLLL Net +7.1
Home WLL Net +0.2
Away WLL Net +14.8

Team stats

South Adelaide Panthers Overall · Home/Away Southern Tigers
5.6%H 0.0% · A 11.1%Win %64.7%H 55.6% · A 75.0%
-31.6H -30.7 · A -32.4Point differential7.1H 0.2 · A 14.8
81.6H 81.8 · A 81.4Points per game98.4H 93.4 · A 104.0
97.4H 97.1 · A 97.7Conceded94.9H 93.3 · A 96.6
45.6%H 44.0% · A 47.2%FG, %52.9%H 50.1% · A 56.0%
27.8H 33.3 · A 22.21st half52.9H 44.4 · A 62.5
81.2H 82.5 · A 79.8Pace85.2H 85.1 · A 85.2
100.8H 98.6 · A 103.1Offensive rating115.6H 115.6 · A 115.5
120.3H 117.7 · A 123.0Defensive rating111.4H 111.5 · A 111.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

South Adelaide Panthers Total (over) Southern Tigers
81.6 Points per game 98.4
33.3%
O 86.5
82.4%
27.8%
O 87.5
82.4%
22.2%
O 88.5
82.4%
11.1%
O 89.5среднее
82.4%
11.1%
O 90.5
82.4%
11.1%
O 91.5
76.5%
11.1%
O 92.5
76.5%
11.1%
O 93.5
76.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

South Adelaide Panthers Total (over) Southern Tigers
0.0%
O 107.5
29.4%
0.0%
O 108.5
23.5%
0.0%
O 109.5
23.5%
0.0%
O 110.5
17.6%
0.0%
O 111.5
17.6%
0.0%
O 112.5
11.8%
0.0%
O 113.5
11.8%
0.0%
O 114.5
11.8%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: South Adelaide Panthers 42.7 / Southern Tigers 48.4

South Adelaide Panthers Total (over) Southern Tigers
38.9%
O 44.5
82.4%
27.8%
O 45.5среднее
82.4%
22.2%
O 46.5
64.7%
22.2%
O 47.5
52.9%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: South Adelaide Panthers — / Southern Tigers 49.2

South Adelaide Panthers Total (over) Southern Tigers
27.8%
O 42.5
82.4%
27.8%
O 43.5
82.4%
22.2%
O 44.5
76.5%
22.2%
O 45.5среднее
76.5%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

South Adelaide Panthers - Southern Tigers

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 192.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 192.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 192.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 192.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.07 93.5%
9.30 10.8%
Match center
South Adelaide Panthers
W L
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
South Adelaide Panthers 87:78 Woodville WarriorsWoodville Warriors
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
South Adelaide Panthers 76:104 Forestville Eagles (Zh)Forestville Eagles (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
81.5 Scored
91.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Southern Tigers
W L
13.06 06:45 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
Southern Tigers 70:63 Forestville Eagles (Zh)Forestville Eagles (Zh)
31.05 01:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central - Women
Southern Tigers 70:78 Norwood Flames (Zh)Norwood Flames (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
70.0 Scored
70.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage