PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
05.07.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers

Basketball
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers
74 : 58
Finished
Willetton Tigers
Willetton Tigers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers 5 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 90.4%
2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins1
75.0%Win %25.0%
102.0Points per game91.3
123.7Offensive rating109.9
110.7Defensive rating122.8
10.8Point differential-10.8
75.8Assists76.5
135.0Rebounds110.3
30.3%3-pointers, %34.8%

Team form

Geraldton Buccaneers
Overall WWLWW Net +22.0
Home WWW Net +27.5
Away LWW Net +16.5
Willetton Tigers
Overall WWLLL Net +7.1
Home WLL Net +0.2
Away WLL Net +14.8

Team stats

Geraldton Buccaneers Overall · Home/Away Willetton Tigers
81.3%H 75.0% · A 87.5%Win %64.7%H 55.6% · A 75.0%
22.0H 27.5 · A 16.5Point differential7.1H 0.2 · A 14.8
97.0H 100.0 · A 94.0Points per game98.4H 93.4 · A 104.0
86.0H 86.3 · A 85.8Conceded94.9H 93.3 · A 96.6
53.2%H 54.8% · A 51.6%FG, %52.9%H 50.1% · A 56.0%
75.0A 62.51st half52.9H 44.4 · A 62.5
75.8H 75.9 · A 75.7Pace85.2H 85.1 · A 85.2
126.8H 124.9 · A 128.8Offensive rating115.6H 115.6 · A 115.5
112.4H 110.7 · A 114.2Defensive rating111.4H 111.5 · A 111.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Geraldton Buccaneers Total (over) Willetton Tigers
97.0 Points per game 98.4
56.3%
O 93.5
76.5%
56.3%
O 94.5
70.6%
56.3%
O 95.5
64.7%
56.3%
O 96.5
52.9%
56.3%
O 97.5среднее
47.1%
56.3%
O 98.5
41.2%
56.3%
O 99.5
35.3%
56.3%
O 100.5
29.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Geraldton Buccaneers Total (over) Willetton Tigers
25.0%
O 107.5
29.4%
12.5%
O 108.5
23.5%
12.5%
O 109.5
23.5%
12.5%
O 110.5
17.6%
12.5%
O 111.5
17.6%
6.3%
O 112.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 113.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 114.5
11.8%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Geraldton Buccaneers 48.5 / Willetton Tigers 48.4

Geraldton Buccaneers Total (over) Willetton Tigers
62.5%
O 46.5
64.7%
56.3%
O 47.5
52.9%
37.5%
O 48.5среднее
47.1%
37.5%
O 49.5
35.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Geraldton Buccaneers 47.6 / Willetton Tigers 49.2

Geraldton Buccaneers Total (over) Willetton Tigers
56.3%
O 46.5
70.6%
50.0%
O 47.5
58.8%
43.8%
O 48.5среднее
47.1%
31.3%
O 49.5
35.3%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Geraldton Buccaneers
  • Джералдтон
  • Founded in 1989
Willetton Tigers
  • Willetton
  • Founded in 1989

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Geraldton Buccaneers
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Willetton Tigers
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Geraldton Buccaneers
195.7 points/match (over 7)
  • Scores: 105.1
  • Concedes: 90.6
Willetton Tigers
174.4 points/match (over 9)
  • Scores: 80.7
  • Concedes: 93.8
Total line: 103.5 · projection from form: 185.1 · Over in 100% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 101.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 102.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -10.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -11.5 2.02 49.5%
П2 -12.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -13.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -14.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -15.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -16.5 1.88 53.2%
П2 -17.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -18.5 2.17 46.1%
П2 -19.5 2.02 49.5%
П2 -20.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -21.5 2.50 40.0%
П2 -22.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -23.5 2.80 35.7%
П2 -24.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 -25.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -26.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -27.5 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 101.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 102.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 103.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 104.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 105.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 106.5 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 107.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 108.5 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 111.5 1.98 50.5%
ТБ 113.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 115.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 116.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 118.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 119.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 181.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 182.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 183.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 184.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 1.01 99.0% 1.07 93.5%
П2 9.50 10.5% 9.10 11.0%
Match center
Geraldton Buccaneers
W W W W
04.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 102:93 Rockingham FlamesRockingham Flames
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 108:90 Joondalup WolvesJoondalup Wolves
31.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 108:88 Warwick SenatorsWarwick Senators
24.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 102:100 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
4 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
92.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Willetton Tigers
W L W L
03.07 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers 94:89 Joondalup WolvesJoondalup Wolves
12.06 12:44 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers 72:79 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
31.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers 98:87 Goldfields GiantsGoldfields Giants
22.05 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers 62:104 Joondalup WolvesJoondalup Wolves
2 Wins
2 Losses
81.5 Scored
89.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage