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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
25.07.2026 02:00 UTC
25.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. NBL 1

Perry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers

Basketball
Perry Lakes Hawks
Perry Lakes Hawks
- : -
Not started
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Geraldton Buccaneers — 64%

1 · Perry Lakes Hawks35.8%
market14%
2 · Geraldton Buccaneers ✓ Pick64.2%
market86%

Model estimate: win Perry Lakes Hawks 35.8%, win Geraldton Buccaneers 64.2%. Model favourite — Geraldton Buccaneers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Geraldton Buccaneers (odds1.45) Score 77:83 confidence 69%
  • • Perry Lakes Hawks: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Geraldton Buccaneers: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Geraldton Buccaneers: probability 69% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Perry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 7.00 / 2 1.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 13.7%
2 ✓ Pick 86.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Perry Lakes Hawks
3-2LWWWL
points for 95.6points against 95.2
Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Perry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Perry Lakes Hawks 26.6% 35.8%
Geraldton Buccaneers 73.4% 64.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 35.8% / 64.2% probabilities
Rating 1,377 / 2,150 Perry Lakes Hawks / Geraldton Buccaneers
RD 105 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,166-1,587 / 1,808-2,491 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 64.2%
1 7.00 market consensus · no value · model 35.8%
Total
Over 191.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 191.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 191.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 191.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
7.00 14.3%
1.11 90.1%
Match center
Perry Lakes Hawks
L W W W L
18.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks 48:84 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
17.07 10:10 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks 105:81 Beeliar BoodjarBeeliar Boodjar
11.07 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks 104:75 Goldfields GiantsGoldfields Giants
09.07 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks 110:88 Rockingham FlamesRockingham Flames
04.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks 108:117 Perth RedbacksPerth Redbacks
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Geraldton Buccaneers
W W W W W
18.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 91:73 East Perth EaglesEast Perth Eagles
12.07 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 111:64 Warwick SenatorsWarwick Senators
11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 94:84 Beeliar BoodjarBeeliar Boodjar
05.07 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 74:58 Willetton TigersWilletton Tigers
04.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 102:93 Rockingham FlamesRockingham Flames
5 Wins
0 Losses
94.4 Scored
74.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPerry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers

Perry Lakes Hawks
1 matches total
Geraldton Buccaneers
Perry Lakes Hawks: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Geraldton Buccaneers: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Geraldton Buccaneers 91:101 (11.04 11:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 192 goals (91:101, 11.04 11:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.04 11:00 UTC+0 NBL1, West
Perry Lakes Hawks
91:101
Geraldton Buccaneers