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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
23.05.2026 09:00 UTC
23.05.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Perth Redbacks - Geraldton Buccaneers

Basketball
Perth Redbacks
Perth Redbacks
- : -
Finished
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Perth Redbacks - Geraldton Buccaneers May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 9.2%
2 90.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Perth Redbacks
2-3WLLWL
points for 90.9points against 92.9
Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Perth Redbacks - Geraldton Buccaneers

Array

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 180.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 181.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.53 65.4%
1.48 67.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 180.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 181.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 182.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 183.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 184.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 186.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 187.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 188.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 189.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 190.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 191.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 192.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 193.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 194.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 195.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 196.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 197.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
10.00 10.0%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Perth Redbacks
L
22.05 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks 84:96 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
0 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
96.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage