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Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Australia: NBL1 West - Women
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Willetton Tigers - Joondalup Wolves

Basketball
Willetton Tigers
Willetton Tigers
80 : 87
Finished
Joondalup Wolves
Joondalup Wolves
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Willetton Tigers — odds 2.80 · edge +6.2% · 2 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Willetton Tigers - Joondalup Wolves July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Joondalup Wolves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 33.0%
2 67.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins1
66.7%Win %33.3%
100.0Points per game103.7
91.5Offensive rating93.8
94.8Defensive rating90.5
-3.7Point differential3.7
65.0Assists71.0
110.0Rebounds100.0
33.7%3-pointers, %39.7%

Team form

Willetton Tigers
Overall WLLLW Net +6.9
Home LLW Net -1.0
Away WLL Net +14.8
Joondalup Wolves
Overall WWLWW Net +19.3
Home WWW Net +31.5
Away LWW Net +8.4

Team stats

Willetton Tigers Overall · Home/Away Joondalup Wolves
62.5%H 50.0% · A 75.0%Win %76.5%H 87.5% · A 66.7%
6.9H -1.0 · A 14.8Point differential19.3H 31.5 · A 8.4
98.7H 93.4 · A 104.0Points per game101.2H 102.0 · A 100.4
95.3H 93.9 · A 96.6Conceded91.5H 86.3 · A 96.2
53.1%H 50.1% · A 56.0%FG, %54.0%H 56.0% · A 52.2%
56.3H 50.0 · A 62.51st half70.6A 55.6
84.8H 84.3 · A 85.2Pace82.0H 79.4 · A 84.4
116.2H 116.6 · A 115.9Offensive rating123.0H 127.1 · A 119.5
112.2H 112.5 · A 111.8Defensive rating111.2H 115.0 · A 108.1

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Willetton Tigers Total (over) Joondalup Wolves
98.7 Points per game 101.2
75.0%
O 93.5
64.7%
75.0%
O 94.5
64.7%
68.8%
O 95.5
64.7%
56.3%
O 96.5
58.8%
50.0%
O 97.5
58.8%
43.8%
O 98.5
58.8%
37.5%
O 99.5srednee
52.9%
31.3%
O 100.5
52.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Willetton Tigers Total (over) Joondalup Wolves
25.0%
O 108.5
29.4%
25.0%
O 109.5
23.5%
18.8%
O 110.5
17.6%
18.8%
O 111.5
17.6%
12.5%
O 112.5
17.6%
12.5%
O 113.5
11.8%
12.5%
O 114.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 115.5
11.8%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Willetton Tigers 48.6 / Joondalup Wolves 52.7

Willetton Tigers Total (over) Joondalup Wolves
37.5%
O 49.5
64.7%
18.8%
O 50.5srednee
58.8%
18.8%
O 51.5
58.8%
18.8%
O 52.5
58.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Willetton Tigers 49.3 / Joondalup Wolves 48.5

Willetton Tigers Total (over) Joondalup Wolves
56.3%
O 47.5
41.2%
50.0%
O 48.5srednee
35.3%
37.5%
O 49.5
35.3%
37.5%
O 50.5
29.4%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Willetton Tigers - Joondalup Wolves

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 161.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 193.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 1.94 51.6%
1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 77.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 78.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 193.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 77.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 78.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 161.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 193.5 — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.80 35.7% 2.35 42.6%
1.38 72.5% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Willetton Tigers
L L L
12.06 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Willetton Tigers 74:81 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
31.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Willetton Tigers 88:95 Goldfields GiantsGoldfields Giants
22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Willetton Tigers 62:104 Joondalup WolvesJoondalup Wolves
0 Wins
3 Losses
74.7 Scored
93.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Joondalup Wolves
W L W W
06.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Joondalup Wolves 94:82 Kalamunda Eastern SunsKalamunda Eastern Suns
05.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Joondalup Wolves 59:78 Warwick SenatorsWarwick Senators
29.05 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Joondalup Wolves 85:80 Cockburn Cougars (Zh)Cockburn Cougars (Zh)
22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Joondalup Wolves 104:62 Willetton TigersWilletton Tigers
3 Wins
1 Losses
85.5 Scored
75.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWilletton Tigers - Joondalup Wolves

Willetton Tigers
1 matches total
Joondalup Wolves
Willetton Tigers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Joondalup Wolves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Joondalup Wolves 62:104 (22.05 08:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 166 goals (62:104, 22.05 08:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Willetton Tigers
62:104
Joondalup Wolves