Australia. NBL 1
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cairns Dolphins (w) — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Dolphins (w)): model 50% · market 92% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cairns Dolphins (w) 85.7%, win Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 14.3%. Model favourite — Cairns Dolphins (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | — | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 144.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 146.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 168.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 167.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 168.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.12 89.3% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.60 15.2% |
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Full head-to-head historyCairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
The Cairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
