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Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff
Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff
24.07.2026 05:00 UTC
24.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors

Basketball
Logan Thunder
Logan Thunder
- : -
Not started
Mackay Meteors
Mackay Meteors
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Logan Thunder — 51%

1 · Logan Thunder50.8%
2 · Mackay Meteors49.2%

Model estimate: win Logan Thunder 50.8%, win Mackay Meteors 49.2%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Logan Thunder (odds1.97) Score 81:79 confidence 51%
  • • Logan Tander: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Mackay Meteors: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Logan Tander: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Logan Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 71.4%
2 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Logan Thunder
9-1WLWWWWWWWW
points for 86.2points against 73.7
Mackay Meteors
7-3WWWWWLWWLL
points for 92.7points against 78.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteors

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Logan Thunder - 50.8% model pick
Mackay Meteors - 49.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.8% / 49.2% probabilities
Rating 1,595 / 1,644 Logan Thunder / Mackay Meteors
RD 156 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,284-1,907 / 1,335-1,953 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus · weak value +56.4% · model 49.2%
1 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 50.8%
Total
Over 193.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 193.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.32 75.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.36 73.5%
2.85 35.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.29 30.4%
Match center
Logan Thunder
W L L W W
18.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 95:75 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
11.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 84:91 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 82:93 Kerns MarlinsKerns Marlins
04.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 101:86 Northside Wizards (Zh)Northside Wizards (Zh)
03.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 112:85 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
3 Wins
2 Losses
94.8 Scored
86.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Mackay Meteors
W W L W W
19.07 02:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 84:68 Gold Kost RollersGold Kost Rollers
18.07 07:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 95:91 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
12.07 02:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 79:86 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
03.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 95:77 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
12.06 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Mackay Meteors 99:84 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
4 Wins
1 Losses
90.4 Scored
81.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage