Beliz. Elit Liga
Orange Walk Running Rebels - Belize City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Orange Walk Running Rebels — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Orange Walk Running Rebels): model 48% · market 52% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Orange Walk Running Rebels 52.0%, win Belize City 48.0%. Model favourite — Orange Walk Running Rebels.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Orange Walk Running Rebels - Belize City 18 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / 2 1.94
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Orange Walk Running Rebels - Belize City
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 140.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 140.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 | 1.92 52.1% | 1.94 51.6% |
Orange Walk Running Rebels
Belize City
Full head-to-head historyOrange Walk Running Rebels - Belize City