Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua
Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua International
15.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Finished

Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua

Mexico (w) - Bahamas (w)

International Basketball
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
81 : 67
Finished
Bahamas (w)
Bahamas (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico (w)90%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico (w)): model 54% · market 86% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mexico (w) ✓ Прогноз90.4%
market86%
2 · Bahamas (w)9.6%
market14%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 90.4%, win Bahamas (w) 9.6%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds1.01) confidence 81% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - Bahamas (w) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 6.60
  • Glicko: Mexico (w) 90.4% / Bahamas (w) 9.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 ✓ Прогноз 86.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.06 ↓ 1.04
Победитель П2 7.50 ↓ 6.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Form 4 matches
Match center

Mexico (w) - Bahamas (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 81:67
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) 93.1% 90.4% market and model agree
Bahamas (w) 6.9% 9.6%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 90.4% / 9.6% probabilities
Rating 2,042 / 1,469 Mexico (w) / Bahamas (w)
RD 246 / 280 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,550-2,535 / 908-2,030 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · no value · model 9.6%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 90.4%
Total
Over 137.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 138.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -11.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -12.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -13.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -14.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -11.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -12.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -13.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -14.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -15.5 1.78 56.2%
П2 -16.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -17.5 1.78 56.2%
П2 -18.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -19.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -20.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -21.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -22.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -23.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -24.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 137.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 138.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 139.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 140.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 141.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 142.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 143.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 144.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 145.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 146.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 148.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 150.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 152.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 153.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 154.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 155.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 156.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 157.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
П2 6.60 15.2% 14.00 7.1%
Match center
Mexico (w)
W W
13.07 21:00 UTC+0 СЕВЕРНАЯ И ЦЕНТРАЛЬНАЯ АМЕРИКА: Centrobasket Championship Women
Mexico (w) 75:64 Доминиканская Республика (Ж)Доминиканская Республика (Ж)
12.07 23:30 UTC+0 СЕВЕРНАЯ И ЦЕНТРАЛЬНАЯ АМЕРИКА: Centrobasket Championship Women
Mexico (w) 103:66 Никарагуа (Ж)Никарагуа (Ж)
2 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
65.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Bahamas (w)
W L
14.07 04:30 МСК Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua
Bahamas (w) 71:67 Nikaragua (Zh)
13.07 02:00 МСК Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua
Bahamas (w) 69:71 Dominican Republic (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
70.0 Scored
69.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico (w) - Bahamas (w)

Mexico (w)
0 matches total
Bahamas (w)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history