Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua
Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua International
14.07.2026 04:30 MSK
Finished

Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua

Bahamas (w) - Nicaragua (w)

International Basketball
Bahamas (w)
Bahamas (w)
71 : 67
Finished
Nicaragua (w)
Nicaragua (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bahamas (w)80%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bahamas (w)): model 52% · market 79% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bahamas (w) ✓ Прогноз79.8%
market79%
2 · Nicaragua (w)20.2%
market21%

Model estimate: win Bahamas (w) 79.8%, win Nicaragua (w) 20.2%. Model favourite — Bahamas (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bahamas (w) - Nicaragua (w) 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bahamas (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Bahamas (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.20
  • Glicko: Bahamas (w) 79.8% / Nicaragua (w) 20.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 ✓ Прогноз 78.5%
2 21.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.21 ↓ 1.15
Победитель П2 3.90 ↑ 4.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 04:30 MSK
Form 3 matches
Match center

Bahamas (w) - Nicaragua (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 71:67
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bahamas (w) 81.9% 79.8% market and model agree
Nicaragua (w) 18.1% 20.2%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 79.8% / 20.2% probabilities
Rating 1,425 / 985 Bahamas (w) / Nicaragua (w)
RD 301 / 251 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 822-2,028 / 484-1,487 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 20.2%
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
Total
Over 137.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 138.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -11.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -12.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -13.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -14.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -15.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -16.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -18.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -19.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -2.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -20.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 -21.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -22.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -24.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -25.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -26.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -3.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -4.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 137.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 138.5 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 139.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 140.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 141.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 142.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 143.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 144.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 145.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 146.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 147.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 148.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 149.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 150.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 151.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 152.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 153.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 154.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
П2 4.20 23.8% 6.40 15.6%
Match center
Bahamas (w)
L
13.07 02:00 МСК Championship Centralalnoy Ameriki. Women. Nikaragua
Bahamas (w) 69:71 Dominican Republic (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
69.0 Scored
71.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nicaragua (w)
L L
13.07 23:30 UTC+0 СЕВЕРНАЯ И ЦЕНТРАЛЬНАЯ АМЕРИКА: Centrobasket Championship Women
Nicaragua (w) 67:73 Багамские острова (Ж)
12.07 23:30 UTC+0 СЕВЕРНАЯ И ЦЕНТРАЛЬНАЯ АМЕРИКА: Centrobasket Championship Women
Nicaragua (w) 66:103 Мексика (Ж)
0 Wins
2 Losses
66.5 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage