Chile. Liga Nacional International

16.07.2026 04:30 MSK

Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

Valdivia - Espanol Osorno

International Basketball

Valdivia

- : -

Finished

Espanol Osorno

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Valdivia — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Valdivia): model 54% · market 69% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Valdivia ✓ Прогноз67.8%

market69%

2 · Espanol Osorno32.2%

market31%

Model estimate: win Valdivia 67.8%, win Espanol Osorno 32.2%. Model favourite — Valdivia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Valdivia (odds1.36) confidence 62%

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valdivia - Espanol Osorno 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valdivia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 ✓ Прогноз 68.6%

2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.57 ↓ 1.35

Победитель П2 2.25 ↑ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated16.07.2026 05:09 MSK

1 68% ✓ favourite

2 32%

Score82:76 Total points: ТМ 162.5 Bet:Фора гостей (+7.5)

Per AI data H2H: 1:4

Claude updated16.07.2026 05:15 MSK

1 68% ✓ favourite

2 32%

Score89:81 Total points: ТБ 167.5 Bet:Ф1 −5.5 (Вальдивия с форой), альтернатива — П1

Qwen updated16.07.2026 05:13 MSK

1 70% ✓ favourite

2 30%

Score86:76 Total points: ТБ 155.5 Bet:П1 с форой (-6.5)

Kimi updated16.07.2026 05:18 MSK

1 62% ✓ favourite

2 38%

Score86:80 Total points: ТБ 160.5 Bet:П1 Вальдивия

GLM 5.2 updated16.07.2026 05:21 MSK

1 69% ✓ favourite

2 31%

Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	68%	32%	82:76	ТМ 162.5	Фора гостей (+7.5)
Claude	68%	32%	89:81	ТБ 167.5	Ф1 −5.5 (Вальдивия с форой), альтернатива — П1
Qwen	70%	30%	86:76	ТБ 155.5	П1 с форой (-6.5)
Kimi	62%	38%	86:80	ТБ 160.5	П1 Вальдивия
GLM 5.2	69%	31%	—	—	1

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Match center

Start 16.07.2026 04:30 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Valdivia - Espanol Osorno

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Valdivia 68.9% 67.8% market and model agree

Espanol Osorno 31.1% 32.2%

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 67.8% / 32.2% probabilities

Rating 1,848 / 1,770 Valdivia / Espanol Osorno

RD 209 / 173 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,431-2,266 / 1,425-2,116 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.2%

1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 67.8%

Total

Over 149.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Over 150.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
П1 -3.5	1.89 52.9%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%
П1 -5.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
П1 -7.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
П2 +3.5	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	—
П2 +5.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
П2 +7.5	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	—
П2 -3.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
П2 -5.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
П2 -6.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
П2 -7.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
П2 -8.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
ТБ 149.5	—	—	1.82 55.0%	—
ТБ 150.5	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
ТМ 149.5	—	—	1.88 53.2%	—
ТМ 150.5	1.88 53.2%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
П1	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.36 73.5%
П2	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.95 33.9%	2.90 34.5%

Match center

Valdivia

12.07 02:30 МСК Chile. Liga Nasional

Valdivia 90:54 Deportes Kastro

1 Wins

0 Losses

90.0 Scored

54.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Espanol Osorno

13.07 02:30 МСК Chile. Liga Nasional

Espanol Osorno 92:78 Deportes Kastro

1 Wins

0 Losses

92.0 Scored

78.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValdivia - Espanol Osorno

Valdivia

2 matches total

Espanol Osorno

Valdivia: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Espanol Osorno: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Эспаньол Осорно 57:69 (21.05 00:39 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 177 goals (87:90, 21.05 22:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

21.05 22:30 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф

Вальдивия

87:90

Эспаньол Осорно

21.05 00:39 UTC+0 ЧИЛИ: ЛНБ - Апертура - плей-офф

Вальдивия

57:69

Эспаньол Осорно