PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Chile. Liga Nacional
Chile. Liga Nacional International
14.07.2026 03:30 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 03:30 MSK
Finished

Chile. Liga Nacional

Atletiko RTO Varas - Puerto Montt

International Basketball
Atletiko RTO Varas
Atletiko RTO Varas
86 : 81
Finished
Puerto Montt
Puerto Montt
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletiko RTO Varas — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletiko RTO Varas): model 50% · market 75% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletiko RTO Varas ✓ Прогноз67.8%
market75%
2 · Puerto Montt32.2%
market25%

Model estimate: win Atletiko RTO Varas 67.8%, win Puerto Montt 32.2%. Model favourite — Atletiko RTO Varas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletiko RTO Varas (odds1.37) confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletiko RTO Varas - Puerto Montt 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletiko RTO Varas.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atletiko RTO Varas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.19 / 2 3.65
  • Glicko: Atletiko RTO Varas 67.8% / Puerto Montt 32.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 ✓ Прогноз 75.4%
2 24.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.23 ↓ 1.19
Победитель П2 3.70 ↓ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated14.07.2026 04:29 MSK
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score91:83 Total points: ТМ 176.5 Bet:Ф1(-6.5)
Per AI data H2H: 86:85, 91:102
DeepSeek updated14.07.2026 04:30 MSK
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score88:80 Total points: ТБ 164.5 Bet:П1 с форой (-5.5)
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 04:33 MSK
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score84:76 Total points: ТМ 163.5 Bet:Пуэрто-Варас −5.5
Claude updated14.07.2026 04:35 MSK
1 68% ✓ favourite
2 32%
Score80:74 Total points: ТМ 158.5 Bet:П1 (победа Атлетико Пуэрто Варас)
Qwen updated14.07.2026 04:32 MSK
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score86:76 Total points: ТМ 175.5 Bet:?????? ???????? ??? ????? ? ????? (-7.5)
Kimi updated14.07.2026 04:39 MSK
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score88:79 Total points: ТБ 160.5 Bet:?1 ???????? ??? ?????
Per AI data Form:LLLWW / LLLWL H2H: 1-1 (86:85, 91:102)
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 04:41 MSK
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score78:70 Total points: ТМ 84.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data Form:3W-2L / 2W-3L H2H: 113-67 (2023)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 72% 28% 91:83 ТМ 176.5 Ф1(-6.5)
DeepSeek 72% 28% 88:80 ТБ 164.5 П1 с форой (-5.5)
ChatGPT 72% 28% 84:76 ТМ 163.5 Пуэрто-Варас −5.5
Claude 68% 32% 80:74 ТМ 158.5 П1 (победа Атлетико Пуэрто Варас)
Qwen 72% 28% 86:76 ТМ 175.5 ?????? ???????? ??? ????? ? ????? (-7.5)
Kimi 72% 28% 88:79 ТБ 160.5 ?1 ???????? ??? ?????
GLM 5.2 70% 30% 78:70 ТМ 84.5 П1

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 03:30 MSK
Form 2 matches
Match center

Atletiko RTO Varas - Puerto Montt

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 86:81
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletiko RTO Varas 69.2% 67.8% market and model agree
Puerto Montt 30.8% 32.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.8% / 32.2% probabilities
Rating 1,002 / 1,157 Atletiko RTO Varas / Puerto Montt
RD 292 / 276 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 418-1,587 / 605-1,709 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 32.2%
1 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 67.8%
Total
Over 158.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -10.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 -4.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% —
П1 -6.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
П1 -8.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
П2 +10.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
П2 +4.5 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% —
П2 +6.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
П2 +8.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
П2 -10.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 158.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 159.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 160.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 161.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 162.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 163.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 164.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 165.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 166.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 167.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 159.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 160.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.31 76.3%
П2 2.85 35.1% 2.85 35.1% 3.65 27.4% 3.18 31.5%
Match center
Atletiko RTO Varas
L
10.07 03:30 МСК Chile. Liga Nasional
Atletiko RTO Varas 49:97 Las AnimasLas Animas
0 Wins
1 Losses
49.0 Scored
97.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Puerto Montt
L
12.07 03:00 МСК Chile. Liga Nasional
Puerto Montt 84:91 Las AnimasLas Animas
0 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
91.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage