Chile. Liga Nacional
Colegio Los Leones - Colo Colo
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Colegio Los Leones — 83%
Pure model vs market (1 · Colegio Los Leones): model 51% · market 92% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Colegio Los Leones 82.8%, win Colo Colo 17.2%. Model favourite — Colegio Los Leones.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Colegio Los Leones - Colo Colo 16 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colegio Los Leones.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
- Glicko: Colegio Los Leones 82.8% / Colo Colo 17.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Colegio Los Leones - Colo Colo
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -12.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| П1 -14.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| П2 -10.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -16.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 -17.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -18.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -19.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -20.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 150.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 151.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 152.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 153.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 154.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 155.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 156.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 157.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТБ 158.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 159.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 160.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 161.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 162.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 163.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 153.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.09 91.7% |
| П2 | 6.40 15.6% | 5.10 19.6% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.30 15.9% |
Colegio Los Leones
Puento Alto
Colo Colo
Espanol De Talka
Full head-to-head historyColegio Los Leones - Colo Colo