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Costa Rica. Liga Superior
Costa Rica. Liga Superior International
15.07.2026 04:30 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 04:30 MSK
Finished

Costa Rica. Liga Superior

Rozuell - Semedes

International Basketball
Rozuell
Rozuell
65 : 63
Finished
Semedes
Semedes
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rozuell — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rozuell): model 54% · market 46% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Rozuell51.7%
2 · Semedes48.3%

Model estimate: win Rozuell 51.7%, win Semedes 48.3%. Model favourite — Rozuell.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rozuell (odds1.85) confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rozuell - Semedes 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Semedes.

Line favourite Fonbet: Semedes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / 2 1.72
  • Glicko: Rozuell 51.7% / Semedes 48.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 46.2%
2 53.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.67 ↑ 2.00
Победитель П2 2.07 ↓ 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 04:30 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Rozuell - Semedes

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 65:63
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rozuell 51.5% 51.7% market and model agree
Semedes 48.5% 48.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 51.7% / 48.3% probabilities
Rating 1,981 / 1,771 Rozuell / Semedes
RD 245 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,491-2,471 / 1,356-2,185 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 48.3%
1 2.00 Fonbet · weak value +3.4% · model 51.7%
Total
Over 131.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.83 54.6% —
П1 -1.5 1.89 52.9% —
П1 -2.5 1.88 53.2% —
П1 -3.5 1.89 52.9% —
П1 -4.5 1.78 56.2% —
П2 +1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 +2.5 1.78 56.2% —
П2 +3.5 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
П2 +4.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
П2 +5.5 — 1.77 56.5%
П2 -1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
П2 -2.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 — 1.85 54.1%
П2 -5.5 — 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 131.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 132.5 — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 134.5 — 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 135.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 136.5 — 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 137.5 — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 138.5 — 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 139.5 — 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 140.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 141.5 — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 142.5 — 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 144.5 — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 145.5 — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 146.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 148.5 — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 149.5 — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 163.5 1.83 54.6% —
ТМ 163.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
П1 1.79 55.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.85 54.1%
П2 1.90 52.6% 1.72 58.1% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Rozuell
W
08.07 04:30 МСК Costa Rica. Liga Superior
Rozuell 62:57 SemedesSemedes
1 Wins
0 Losses
62.0 Scored
57.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Semedes
L
08.07 04:30 МСК Costa Rica. Liga Superior
Semedes 57:62 RozuellRozuell
0 Wins
1 Losses
57.0 Scored
62.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRozuell - Semedes

Rozuell
1 matches total
Semedes
Rozuell: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Semedes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rozuell 62:57 (08.07 04:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 119 goals (62:57, 08.07 04:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 04:30 МСК Costa Rica. Liga Superior
Rozuell
62:57
Semedes