Dominican Republic. LNB
Metros de Santiago - Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Metros de Santiago — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Metros de Santiago): model 48% · market 48% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Metros de Santiago 58.1%, win Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís 41.9%. Model favourite — Metros de Santiago.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Metros de Santyago: forma PPPPP (0-5)
- • Gigantes San-Fransisko-de-Makoris: forma V (1-0)
- • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
- • Model backs Metros de Santyago: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 180.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 180.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Metros de Santiago - Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís July 18, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.94 / 2 1.77
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Metros de Santiago - Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.78 56.2% | — | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 180.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Over 181.5 | — | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 181.5 | — | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.89 52.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Metros de Santiago
Gigantes San-Fransisko-de-Makoris
Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís
Metros de Santyago
Full head-to-head historyMetros de Santiago - Gigantes San Francisco de Macorís