Match center
Start
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Austria - Poland
77
:
123
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2Poland — 85%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
💎 «Value»
1Austria — odds 14.00 · edge +7.8% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Austria - Poland July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Poland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.02
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
6.8%
2
93.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Austria
Poland
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Austria
Overall
WLLLL
Net +10.8
Home
LLW
Net +0.3
Away
WLL
Net +21.3
Poland
Overall
WWWWL
Net +18.0
Home
WWW
Net +32.0
Away
WWL
Net +4.0
Team stats
Austria
Overall · Home/Away
Poland
50.0%H 50.0% · A 50.0%Win %100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%
10.8H 0.3 · A 21.3Point differential18.0H 32.0 · A 4.0
84.9H 80.5 · A 89.3Points per game87.8H 91.0 · A 84.5
79.5H 80.3 · A 78.7Conceded78.8H 75.0 · A 82.5
45.3%H 45.8% · A 44.8%FG, %45.5%H 45.5% · A 45.5%
50.0H 50.0 · A 50.01st half50.0A 0.0
74.2H 72.0 · A 76.5Pace75.1H 73.4 · A 76.7
115.5H 120.3 · A 111.0Offensive rating118.0H 119.5 · A 116.5
108.1H 112.6 · A 103.9Defensive rating105.9H 107.3 · A 104.6
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Austria
Total (over)
Poland
84.9
Points per game
87.8
50.0%
O 82.5
100.0%
41.7%
O 83.5
100.0%
41.7%
O 84.5
75.0%
41.7%
O 85.5
50.0%
41.7%
O 86.5среднее
50.0%
41.7%
O 87.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 88.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 89.5
50.0%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Austria
Total (over)
Poland
8.3%
O 111.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 112.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 113.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 114.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 115.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 116.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 117.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 118.5
0.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Austria 42.9 / Poland 44.0
Austria
Total (over)
Poland
41.7%
O 41.5
75.0%
41.7%
O 42.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 43.5среднее
25.0%
33.3%
O 44.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Austria 42.0 / Poland 43.8
Austria
Total (over)
Poland
41.7%
O 41.5
75.0%
41.7%
O 42.5среднее
50.0%
41.7%
O 43.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 44.5
50.0%
Form and head-to-head • FIBA World Cup Qualification - 1st Round
Team stats
Austria
LLLWWLLLLW
W 3 • D 0 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:73.6 : 79.3
4 place, 5 pts
Poland
WWLLWLWWWW
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:80.3 : 77
1 place, 8 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Austria 0, draws 0, Poland 4 (goals 276:347)
- Poland — Austria2025-11-28 90:78
- Poland — Austria2023-02-23 87:72
- Austria — Poland2022-08-28 55:91
- Austria — Poland2016-08-14 71:79
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Austria - Poland
Basketball, Austria - Poland, 3 июля 2026: обзор matches, счет 77 : 123, статистика and результаты, видео голов. ЧМ-2027 — Европа. Во сколько начало matches Austria - Poland, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.94 51.6% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 163.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 164.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 162.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 163.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 164.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.00 7.1% | 14.00 7.1% | 14.00 7.1% | 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAustria - Poland
Austria
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Austria
Team 2
Poland
Austria
Team comparison
Poland
4
Games
4
1
Wins
4
3
Losses
0
305
Scored
351
344
Conceded
315
5
Points
8
Austria Poland 4 Игры 4 1 Победы 4 3 Поражения 0 305 Забито 351 344 Пропущено 315 5 Очки 8 Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 8% 34% 58% Double chance 21% 33% 46% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289592' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');