Match center
Start
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Hungary - Belgium
85
:
70
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Hungary — 67%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hungary - Belgium July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Hungary. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Hungary
Belgium
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Team form
Hungary
Overall
LWLLL
Net +1.8
Home
LWLLW
Net +12.2
Away
L
Net -50.0
Belgium
Overall
WWLWW
Net +25.7
Home
WWLWW
Net +30.8
Away
W
Net +13.0
Team stats
Hungary
Overall · Home/Away
Belgium
50.0%H 60.0% · A 0.0%Win %85.7%H 80.0% · A 100.0%
1.8H 12.2 · A -50.0Point differential25.7H 30.8 · A 13.0
65.1H 65.6 · A 62.5Points per game89.6H 91.4 · A 85.0
64.2H 59.5 · A 87.5Conceded76.7H 76.0 · A 78.5
37.9%H 38.1% · A 37.0%FG, %48.9%H 49.6% · A 47.0%
50.0H 60.0 · A 0.01st half71.4A 0.0
69.0H 68.3 · A 72.5Pace78.4H 78.4 · A 78.3
95.1H 96.2 · A 90.0Offensive rating114.2H 113.8 · A 115.0
93.8H 94.9 · A 88.8Defensive rating97.8H 97.5 · A 98.5
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Hungary
Total (over)
Belgium
65.1
Points per game
89.6
25.0%
O 73.5
100.0%
16.7%
O 74.5
100.0%
16.7%
O 75.5
100.0%
16.7%
O 76.5
85.7%
8.3%
O 77.5среднее
85.7%
8.3%
O 78.5
85.7%
8.3%
O 79.5
71.4%
8.3%
O 80.5
71.4%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Hungary
Total (over)
Belgium
0.0%
O 101.5
14.3%
0.0%
O 102.5
14.3%
0.0%
O 103.5
14.3%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Hungary — / Belgium 46.7
Hungary
Total (over)
Belgium
16.7%
O 40.5
85.7%
8.3%
O 41.5
85.7%
0.0%
O 42.5
85.7%
0.0%
O 43.5среднее
71.4%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Hungary — / Belgium 42.9
Hungary
Total (over)
Belgium
16.7%
O 40.5
57.1%
8.3%
O 41.5
57.1%
8.3%
O 42.5среднее
57.1%
8.3%
O 43.5
42.9%
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Hungary
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Belgium
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Hungary
162 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 77
- Concedes: 85
Belgium
152 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 72
- Concedes: 80
Total line: 154.5 · projection from form: 157 · Over in 50% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Hungary - Belgium
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.94
market consensus · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 146.5
1.47
Fonbet · line only
Over 147.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.37 42.2% | |
| — | — | 1.53 65.4% | |
| — | — | 1.42 70.4% | |
| — | — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.32 75.8% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.37 73.0% | |
| — | — | 2.37 42.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 146.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 154.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 155.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 2.91 34.4% |
Match center
Hungary
L
Hungary
77:85
Finland
0
Wins
1
Losses
77.0
Scored
85.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHungary - Belgium
Hungary
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals