Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Slovenia - Sweden
79
:
88
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
2Sweden — 62%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Slovenia - Sweden July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sweden. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / 2 1.04
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 10.4%
1
12.9%
2
87.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Slovenia
Sweden
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Slovenia
6-4WWWLLWWWLL
points for 88.5points against 85.0
Sweden
5-5LWLLWLWLWW
points for 81.2points against 78.5
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Slovenia
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)
Sweden
Normal schedule- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Slovenia
161 points/match (over 2)
- Scores: 72.5
- Concedes: 88.5
Sweden
163 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 87
- Concedes: 76
Total line: 166.5 · projection from form: 162 · Over in 33% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Slovenia - Sweden
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1
7.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.52 65.8% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.42 70.4% | |
| — | — | 1.36 73.5% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.31 76.3% | |
| — | — | 1.31 76.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 164.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 165.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 167.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 168.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 169.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 170.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 171.5 | — | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 172.5 | — | — | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 173.5 | — | — | 3.00 33.3% |
| Under 166.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 7.00 14.3% | 2.53 39.5% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.60 62.5% |
Match center
Slovenia
L
Slovenia
62:93
Estonia
0
Wins
1
Losses
62.0
Scored
93.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Sweden
W
Sweden
87:76
Czechia
1
Wins
0
Losses
87.0
Scored
76.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySlovenia - Sweden
Slovenia
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals