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Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund
04.07.2026 12:45 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 12:45 UTC
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket U20 B - Women - Predvaritelnyy raund

Portugal U20 (Zh) - Montenegro U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Portugal U20 (Zh)
Portugal U20 (Zh)
71 : 55
Finished
Montenegro U20 (Zh)
Montenegro U20 (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portugal U20 (Zh) - Montenegro U20 (Zh) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portugal U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 6.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 85.7%
2 14.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
77.0Points per game53.0
24.0Point differential-24.0

Team form

Portugal U20 (Zh)
Overall LWLWW Net +17.6
Home WLW Net +27.6
Away LWW Net +9.3
Montenegro U20 (Zh)
Overall LWLWL Net -38.2
Home WWL Net -7.0
Away LLL Net -63.2

Team stats

Portugal U20 (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Montenegro U20 (Zh)
63.6%H 80.0% · A 50.0%Win %22.2%H 50.0% · A 0.0%
17.6H 27.6 · A 9.3Point differential-38.2H -7.0 · A -63.2
77.5H 85.8 · A 70.5Points per game60.8H 62.5 · A 59.4
68.6H 72.0 · A 65.8Conceded79.9H 66.0 · A 91.0
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half33.3H 75.0 · A 0.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Portugal U20 (Zh) Total (over) Montenegro U20 (Zh)
77.5 Points per game 60.8
63.6%
O 70.5среднее
22.2%
63.6%
O 71.5
11.1%
63.6%
O 72.5
11.1%
63.6%
O 73.5
11.1%
63.6%
O 74.5
11.1%
63.6%
O 75.5
11.1%
63.6%
O 76.5
11.1%
45.5%
O 77.5
11.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Portugal U20 (Zh) Total (over) Montenegro U20 (Zh)
9.1%
O 106.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 107.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 108.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 109.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 110.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 111.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 112.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 113.5
0.0%

Points by period

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Portugal U20 (Zh) — / Montenegro U20 (Zh) —

Portugal U20 (Zh) Total (over) Montenegro U20 (Zh)
27.3%
O 40.5
0.0%
27.3%
O 41.5
0.0%
27.3%
O 42.5
0.0%
27.3%
O 43.5
0.0%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 12:45 UTC
Match center

Portugal U20 (Zh) - Montenegro U20 (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 125.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 126.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% —
— 2.35 42.6%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.15 46.5%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 2.45 40.8%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 125.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 126.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 127.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 128.5 1.88 53.2% 1.50 66.7%
Over 129.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 130.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 131.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 132.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Over 133.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Over 134.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 135.5 — 2.05 48.8%
Over 136.5 — 2.18 45.9%
Over 137.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 138.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Under 128.5 1.79 55.9% —
Under 130.5 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.05 95.2% 1.21 82.6%
4.70 21.3% 6.30 15.9% 4.30 23.3%