European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Albania U20 — 73%
Pure model vs market (1 · Albania U20): model 43% · market 75% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Albania U20 72.5%, win Bulgaria U20 27.5%. Model favourite — Albania U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20 15 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Albania U20.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.70
- Glicko: Albania U20 72.5% / Bulgaria U20 27.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20
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Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +34.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +29.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +30.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +32.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +33.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +34.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +35.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +36.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +37.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +38.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +40.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +41.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 +42.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +45.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +46.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +47.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +48.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -34.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 154.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 155.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 156.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 157.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 158.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 159.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 160.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 162.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 168.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 169.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 173.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 175.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 177.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 178.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 179.5 | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТБ 180.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 156.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 17.00 5.9% |
| П2 | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | — |
Form & head-to-head
Albania U20
Denmark U20
Netherlands U20
Bulgaria U20
Denmark U20
Hungary U20
Netherlands U20
Full head-to-head historyAlbania U20 - Bulgaria U20