European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
15.07.2026 10:00 MSK
Finished

European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals

Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20

Basketball
Albania U20
Albania U20
73 : 105
Finished
Bulgaria U20
Bulgaria U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Albania U2073%

Pure model vs market (1 · Albania U20): model 43% · market 75% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Albania U20 ✓ Прогноз72.5%
market75%
2 · Bulgaria U2027.5%
market25%

Model estimate: win Albania U20 72.5%, win Bulgaria U20 27.5%. Model favourite — Albania U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Albania U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Albania U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.70
  • Glicko: Albania U20 72.5% / Bulgaria U20 27.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 74.7%
2 25.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 10:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Albania U20 - Bulgaria U20

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 73:105
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Albania U20 74.8% 72.5% market and model agree
Bulgaria U20 25.3% 27.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 72.5% / 27.5% probabilities
Rating 997 / 2,006 Albania U20 / Bulgaria U20
RD 224 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 550-1,445 / 1,492-2,519 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 market consensus · no value · model 27.5%
1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 72.5%
Total
Over 154.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 +34.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +29.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +30.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +32.5 1.88 53.2%
П2 +33.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +34.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +35.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +36.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +37.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +38.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +40.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +41.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +42.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +45.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +46.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +47.5 1.88 53.2%
П2 +48.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -34.5 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 154.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 155.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 156.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 157.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 158.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 159.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 160.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 162.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 168.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 169.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 173.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 175.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 177.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 178.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 179.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 180.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 156.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Leon
П1 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 17.00 5.9%
П2 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-07-15 · Albaniya U20 73:105 Bulgaria U20
2024-07-16 · Albaniya U20 47:96 Bulgaria U20
Source: ruscore
Albania U20
L L
12.07 15:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Albania U20 88:91 Denmark U20Denmark U20
10.07 20:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Albania U20 59:82 Netherlands U20Netherlands U20
0 Wins
2 Losses
73.5 Scored
86.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Bulgaria U20
W W W
14.07 15:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Bulgaria U20 94:54 Denmark U20Denmark U20
12.07 17:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Bulgaria U20 86:78 Hungary U20Hungary U20
11.07 14:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Bulgaria U20 76:73 Netherlands U20Netherlands U20
3 Wins
0 Losses
85.3 Scored
68.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlbania U20 - Bulgaria U20

Albania U20
0 matches total
Bulgaria U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history