European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
15.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished

European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals

Azerbaijan U20 - North Makedoniya U20

Basketball
Azerbaijan U20
Azerbaijan U20
57 : 67
Finished
North Makedoniya U20
North Makedoniya U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 North Makedoniya U2069%

Pure model vs market (2 · North Makedoniya U20): model 50% · market 92% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Azerbaijan U2031.1%
market8%
2 · North Makedoniya U20 ✓ Прогноз68.9%
market92%

Model estimate: win Azerbaijan U20 31.1%, win North Makedoniya U20 68.9%. Model favourite — North Makedoniya U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Azerbaijan U20 - North Makedoniya U20 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like North Makedoniya U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: North Makedoniya U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Azerbaijan U20 31.1% / North Makedoniya U20 68.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 ✓ Прогноз 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.95 ↑ 3.35
Победитель П2 1.35 ↓ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Azerbaijan U20 - North Makedoniya U20

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 57:67
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Azerbaijan U20 29.7% 31.1%
North Makedoniya U20 70.3% 68.9% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 31.1% / 68.9% probabilities
Rating 1,354 / 1,445 Azerbaijan U20 / North Makedoniya U20
RD 226 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 903-1,806 / 1,020-1,870 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 68.9%
1 2.14 market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
Total
Over 124.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 125.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 +6.5 1.89 52.9%
П2 +1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +2.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +3.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +4.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +5.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +6.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +7.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +8.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -2.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -3.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 -4.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -5.5 1.53 65.4%
П2 -6.5 1.79 55.9% 1.67 59.9%
П2 -7.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -8.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 124.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 125.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 126.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 127.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 128.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 129.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 130.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 131.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 132.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 133.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 134.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 135.5 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 136.5 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 137.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 135.5 1.79 55.9%
ТМ 136.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Fonbet Leon
П1 3.10 32.3% 1.02 98.5% 1.01 98.8% 11.00 9.1% 3.45 29.0%
П2 1.31 76.3% 12.00 8.3% 13.00 7.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.30 76.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-07-15 · Azerbaijan U20 57:67 North Makedoniya U20
Source: ruscore
Azerbaijan U20
L W L
15.07 19:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Azerbaijan U20 47:54 Ireland U20Ireland U20
12.07 17:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Azerbaijan U20 72:66 Slovakia U20Slovakia U20
10.07 15:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Azerbaijan U20 58:85 Sweden U20
1 Wins
2 Losses
59.0 Scored
68.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
North Makedoniya U20
L L W
14.07 12:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
North Makedoniya U20 64:86 Sweden U20
11.07 12:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
North Makedoniya U20 56:69 Ireland U20Ireland U20
10.07 17:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
North Makedoniya U20 71:63 Slovakia U20Slovakia U20
1 Wins
2 Losses
63.7 Scored
72.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage