Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
15.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket U20 B

Greece U20 - Ireland U20

Basketball
Greece U20
Greece U20
49 : 86
Finished
Ireland U20
Ireland U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ireland U2050%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ireland U20): model 54% · market 89% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Greece U2049.7%
2 · Ireland U2050.3%

Model estimate: win Greece U20 49.7%, win Ireland U20 50.3%. Model favourite — Ireland U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Greece U20 - Ireland U20 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ireland U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ireland U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Greece U20 49.7% / Ireland U20 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 10.7%
2 89.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.88 ↑ 2.07
Победитель П2 1.82 ↓ 1.67

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Form 5 matches
Match center

Greece U20 - Ireland U20

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 49:86
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Greece U20 50.0% 49.7% market favourite
Ireland U20 50.0% 50.3% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.7% / 50.3% probabilities
Rating 1,049 / 1,680 Greece U20 / Ireland U20
RD 216 / 238 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 617-1,482 / 1,205-2,155 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +322.4% · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 108.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 109.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.89 52.9%
П1 0 1.84 54.4%
П2 +1.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +10.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +11.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +13.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +14.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +15.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +16.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +17.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +18.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +19.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +2.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +20.5 1.53 65.4%
П2 -1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.58 63.3%
П2 0 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 108.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 109.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 110.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 111.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 112.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 113.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 114.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 115.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 116.5 2.17 46.1%
ТБ 117.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 118.5 2.17 46.1%
ТБ 119.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 120.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 121.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 122.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 123.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 136.5 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 136.5 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Fonbet Leon
П1 1.84 54.4% 1.03 97.6% 1.14 87.7% 8.50 11.8% 1.93 51.8%
П2 1.84 54.4% 10.50 9.5% 5.00 20.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Greece U20
L L L
12.07 17:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Greece U20 66:72 Azerbaijan U20Azerbaijan U20
11.07 17:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Greece U20 70:83 Sweden U20
10.07 17:00 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Greece U20 63:71 North Makedoniya U20North Makedoniya U20
0 Wins
3 Losses
66.3 Scored
75.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Ireland U20
L W
12.07 12:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Ireland U20 20:27 Sweden U20
11.07 12:30 МСК Europe: Evrobasket U20 B
Ireland U20 69:56 North Makedoniya U20North Makedoniya U20
1 Wins
1 Losses
44.5 Scored
41.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGreece U20 - Ireland U20

Greece U20
0 matches total
Ireland U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history