European Championship. U20. Division B. Slovakia. Quarter-finals
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Sweden U20 — 80%
Pure model vs market (2 · Sweden U20): model 56% · market 92% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win North Makedoniya U20 20.4%, win Sweden U20 79.6%. Model favourite — Sweden U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sweden U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
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В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +12.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 +13.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +10.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +11.5 | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +12.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 +13.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| П2 +14.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +15.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| П2 +16.5 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 +17.5 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 +18.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +19.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +20.5 | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 +21.5 | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 +22.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +23.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -12.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -13.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 140.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 142.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 144.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 147.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 148.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 149.5 | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| ТБ 150.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 151.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 152.5 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 153.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТМ 143.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| ТМ 145.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.95 20.2% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.54 39.4% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.40 15.6% |
| П2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.11 90.1% |
North Makedoniya U20
Ireland U20
Slovakia U20
Sweden U20
Ireland U20
Slovakia U20
Azerbaijan U20
Full head-to-head historyNorth Makedoniya U20 - Sweden U20
