PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Mesta s 9 po 16
Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Mesta s 9 po 16
18.07.2026 14:00 UTC
18.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Mesta s 9 po 16

Poland U20 - Lithuania U20

Basketball
Poland U20
Poland U20
- : -
Not started
Lithuania U20
Lithuania U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Poland U20 — 58%

1 · Poland U20 ✓ Прогноз58.2%
market10%
2 · Lithuania U2041.8%
market90%

Model estimate: win Poland U20 58.2%, win Lithuania U20 41.8%. Model favourite — Poland U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland U20 - Lithuania U20 July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lithuania U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 10.3%
2 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Poland U20 - Lithuania U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poland U20 - 58.2% model pick
Lithuania U20 - 41.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.2% / 41.8% probabilities
Rating 1,408 / 1,142 Poland U20 / Lithuania U20
RD 277 / 210 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 853-1,963 / 722-1,562 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 41.8%
1 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +424.2% · model 58.2%
Total
Over 159.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 160.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.12 47.2% —
2.00 50.0% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6% —
1.72 58.1% —
1.64 61.0% —
1.64 61.0% —
1.72 58.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
2.00 50.0% —
2.12 47.2% —
— 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8% —
Over 160.5 1.77 56.5% —
Over 161.5 1.70 58.8% —
Over 162.5 1.75 57.1% —
Over 163.5 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Over 165.5 1.96 51.0% —
Under 159.5 2.03 49.3% —
Under 160.5 1.94 51.6% —
Under 161.5 2.03 49.3% —
Under 162.5 1.96 51.0% —
Under 163.5 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
Under 164.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
Under 165.5 1.75 57.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
9.00 11.1% 9.20 10.9%
1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Poland U20
W
16.07 13:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Mesta s 9 po 16
Poland U20 90:83 Czechia U20
1 Wins
0 Losses
90.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Lithuania U20
L W L W L
15.07 17:00 UTC+0 Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff
Lithuania U20 61:67 Turkey U20Turkey U20
13.07 09:30 UTC+0 Europe: Evrobasket U20
Lithuania U20 112:67 Poland U20Poland U20
12.07 12:00 UTC+0 Europe: Evrobasket U20
Lithuania U20 57:79 Serbia U20Serbia U20
11.07 16:30 UTC+0 Europe: Evrobasket U20
Lithuania U20 104:78 Latvia U20Latvia U20
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Lithuania U20 72:79 Spain U20Spain U20
2 Wins
3 Losses
81.2 Scored
74.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoland U20 - Lithuania U20

Poland U20
1 matches total
Lithuania U20
Poland U20: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lithuania U20: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lithuania U20 67:112 (13.07 09:30 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 179 goals (67:112, 13.07 09:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 09:30 UTC+0 Europe: Evrobasket U20
Poland U20
67:112
Lithuania U20