Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff
Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff
15.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Finished

Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff

Croatia U20 - Romania U20

Basketball
Croatia U20
Croatia U20
68 : 100
Finished
Romania U20
Romania U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Croatia U2060%

1 · Croatia U20 ✓ Прогноз59.7%
market75%
2 · Romania U2040.3%
market25%

Model estimate: win Croatia U20 59.7%, win Romania U20 40.3%. Model favourite — Croatia U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Croatia U20 - Romania U20 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Croatia U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Croatia U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.70
  • Glicko: Croatia U20 59.7% / Romania U20 40.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 74.7%
2 25.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Croatia U20
4-6LLLLLWWWWL
points for 70.7points against 81.8
Romania U20

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Croatia U20 - Romania U20

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 68:100
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Croatia U20 74.8% 59.7% market and model agree
Romania U20 25.3% 40.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.7% / 40.3% probabilities
Rating 1,777 / 911 Croatia U20 / Romania U20
RD 179 / 233 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,419-2,134 / 444-1,377 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%
1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%
Total
Over 136.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 138.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 -34.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 -35.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 -36.5 1.89 52.9%
П2 +34.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +35.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +36.5 1.79 55.9%
П2 -17.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 -18.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 -19.5 2.60 38.5%
П2 -20.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -21.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -22.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -23.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -24.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -25.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -26.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -27.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -28.5 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 136.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 138.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 139.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 140.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 141.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 142.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 143.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 144.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 145.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 146.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 147.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 148.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 149.5 1.81 55.3% 3.10 32.3%
ТБ 150.5 1.84 54.4% 2.80 35.7%
ТМ 149.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 150.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365
П1 1.25 80.0%
П2 3.70 27.0%
Match center
Croatia U20
W W W L W
13.07 16:30 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Croatia U20 43:6 Хорватия U20Хорватия U20
13.07 14:00 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Croatia U20 81:67 Греция U20Греция U20
11.07 09:30 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Croatia U20 81:58 Бельгия U20Бельгия U20
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 МИР: Международные товарищеские матчи
Croatia U20 74:84 Франция U20Франция U20
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 МИР: Международные товарищеские матчи
Croatia U20 79:72 Литва U20Литва U20
4 Wins
1 Losses
71.6 Scored
57.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Romania U20
L L L L
13.07 14:30 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Romania U20 51:95 Словения U20Словения U20
12.07 11:30 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Romania U20 66:93 Чехия U20Чехия U20
11.07 17:00 UTC+0 ЕВРОПА: Евробаскет U20
Romania U20 68:78 Израиль U20Израиль U20
30.06 08:00 UTC+0 МИР: Международные товарищеские матчи
Romania U20 69:95 Сербия U20Сербия U20
0 Wins
4 Losses
63.5 Scored
90.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCroatia U20 - Romania U20

Croatia U20
0 matches total
Romania U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history