Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Slovenia U20 — 80%
Pure model vs market (1 · Slovenia U20): model 57% · market 91% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Slovenia U20 79.6%, win Belgium U20 20.4%. Model favourite — Slovenia U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Slovenia U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -22.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -23.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +22.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +23.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -10.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| П2 -16.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -17.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -18.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| П2 -19.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -20.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -21.5 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 -22.5 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 -23.5 | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 140.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 141.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТБ 142.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.47 68.0% |
| ТБ 144.5 | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 145.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 147.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 148.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 149.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 150.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 151.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 152.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 153.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТМ 142.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 143.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Outcome | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.03 97.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 | 10.50 9.5% | 3.25 30.8% | 10.50 9.5% |
Slovenia U20
Румыния U20
Израиль U20
Чехия U20
Турция U20
Belgium U20
Хорватия U20
Греция U20
Испания U20
Full head-to-head historySlovenia U20 - Belgium U20
