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European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
05.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals

Iceland U20 (Zh) - Poland U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Iceland U20 (Zh)
Iceland U20 (Zh)
37 : 46
Finished
Poland U20 (Zh)
Poland U20 (Zh)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Poland U20 (Zh) — 85%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Iceland U20 (Zh) - Poland U20 (Zh) July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0%Win %100.0%
73.0Points per game89.0
-16.0Point differential16.0

Team form

Iceland U20 (Zh)
Overall LLLWL Net -11.6
Home LWL Net -0.5
Away LLW Net -20.4
Poland U20 (Zh)
Overall LWLWW Net +16.8
Home WW Net +33.7
Away LLWL

Team stats

Iceland U20 (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Poland U20 (Zh)
44.4%H 50.0% · A 40.0%Win %58.3%H 66.7% · A 50.0%
-11.6H -0.5 · A -20.4Point differential16.8H 33.7 · A 0.0
77.6H 80.8 · A 75.0Points per game77.8H 86.5 · A 69.2
83.3H 81.0 · A 85.2Conceded69.4H 69.7 · A 69.2
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half0.0H 0.0 · A 0.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Iceland U20 (Zh) Total (over) Poland U20 (Zh)
77.6 Points per game 77.8
55.6%
O 74.5
58.3%
55.6%
O 75.5
58.3%
55.6%
O 76.5
50.0%
44.4%
O 77.5srednee
50.0%
44.4%
O 78.5
50.0%
44.4%
O 79.5
41.7%
44.4%
O 80.5
41.7%
44.4%
O 81.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Iceland U20 (Zh) Total (over) Poland U20 (Zh)
0.0%
O 101.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 102.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 103.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 104.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 105.5
8.3%

Points by period

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Iceland U20 (Zh) — / Poland U20 (Zh) —

Iceland U20 (Zh) Total (over) Poland U20 (Zh)
44.4%
O 40.5
0.0%
44.4%
O 41.5
0.0%
44.4%
O 42.5
0.0%
44.4%
O 43.5
0.0%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Iceland U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Poland U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Iceland U20 (Zh)
152 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 78
  • Concedes: 74
Poland U20 (Zh)
151 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 91
  • Concedes: 60
Total line: 159.5 · projection from form: 151.5 · Over in 0% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Iceland U20 (Zh) - Poland U20 (Zh)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 122.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 124.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.45 69.0%
2.65 37.7%
1.78 56.2%
1.92 52.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.57 63.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.85 35.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.75 36.4%
2.40 41.7%
2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 122.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 124.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 125.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 126.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 127.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 128.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 129.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 130.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 131.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 132.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 133.5 2.12 47.2%
Over 136.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 137.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 138.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 139.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 140.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 141.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Iceland U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 13:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Iceland U20 (Zh) 78:74 Serbia U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
78.0 Scored
74.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Poland U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 10:30 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Poland U20 (Zh) 91:60 Italy U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
91.0 Scored
60.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage