European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
05.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals

Latvia U20 (Zh) - Germany U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Latvia U20 (Zh)
Latvia U20 (Zh)
70 : 60
Finished
Germany U20 (Zh)
Germany U20 (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Latvia U20 (Zh) - Germany U20 (Zh) 5 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Latvia U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Latvia U20 (Zh)
#22 ptsGP 11-0
Germany U20 (Zh)
#42 ptsGP 11-0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0%Win %100.0%
54.0Points per game59.0
58.7Offensive rating89.8
64.2Defensive rating82.2
-5.0Point differential5.0
39.0Assists30.0
147.0Rebounds
9.0%3-pointers, %9.0%

Team form

Latvia U20 (Zh)
Overall WLWLW Net +14.0
Home W Net -1.0
Away WLWLW Net +14.0
Germany U20 (Zh)
Overall WWWLL Net +2.9
Home WWW Net +16.7
Away WLL Net -7.5

Team stats

Latvia U20 (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Germany U20 (Zh)
100.0%A 100.0%Win %57.1%H 100.0% · A 25.0%
14.0H -1.0 · A 14.0Point differential2.9H 16.7 · A -7.5
70.0A 70.0Points per game75.1H 77.0 · A 73.8
63.0A 63.0Conceded73.7H 68.7 · A 77.5
32.0%A 32.0%FG, %37.9%H 38.0% · A 37.8%
H -1.01st half57.1A 25.0
81.3A 81.3Pace79.7H 80.2 · A 79.3
88.7A 88.7Offensive rating94.3H 93.8 · A 94.7
79.9A 79.9Defensive rating92.5H 92.0 · A 92.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Latvia U20 (Zh) Total (over) Germany U20 (Zh)
70.0 Points per game 75.1
0.0%
O 70.5
57.1%
0.0%
O 71.5
57.1%
0.0%
O 72.5среднее
57.1%
0.0%
O 73.5
57.1%
0.0%
O 74.5
57.1%
0.0%
O 75.5
42.9%
0.0%
O 76.5
42.9%
0.0%
O 77.5
42.9%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Latvia U20 (Zh) — / Germany U20 (Zh) —

Latvia U20 (Zh) Total (over) Germany U20 (Zh)
0.0%
O 40.5
28.6%
0.0%
O 41.5
28.6%
0.0%
O 42.5
14.3%
0.0%
O 43.5
14.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Latvia U20 (Zh) — / Germany U20 (Zh) —

Latvia U20 (Zh) Total (over) Germany U20 (Zh)
0.0%
O 40.5
42.9%
0.0%
O 41.5
14.3%
0.0%
O 42.5
14.3%
0.0%
O 43.5
14.3%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Latvia U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Germany U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Latvia U20 (Zh)
133 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 70
  • Concedes: 63
Germany U20 (Zh)
114 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 64
  • Concedes: 50

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Latvia U20 (Zh) - Germany U20 (Zh)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 121.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 122.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +1.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 -1.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 -10.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -11.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -12.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 -13.5 1.47 68.0%
П2 -14.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -15.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -16.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -17.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -2.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -3.5 2.60 38.5%
П2 -4.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -5.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -6.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -7.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -8.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
ТБ 121.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 122.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 123.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 124.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 125.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 126.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 127.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 128.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 129.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 130.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 131.5 1.84 54.4% 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 132.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 133.5 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 134.5 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 135.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 136.5 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 131.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.02 98.0% 1.78 56.2%
П2 1.93 51.8% 8.50 11.8% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Latvia U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 08:00 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Latvia U20 (Zh) 70:63 Sweden U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
70.0 Scored
63.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Germany U20 (Zh)
W
04.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Evrobasket U20 - Women
Germany U20 (Zh) 64:50 Hungary U20 (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
64.0 Scored
50.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage