European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals

Lithuania U20 - Croatia U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Lithuania U20
Lithuania U20
89 : 64
Finished
Croatia U20 (Zh)
Croatia U20 (Zh)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Lithuania U2079%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lithuania U20 - Croatia U20 (Zh) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lithuania U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 75.1%
2 24.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
77.0Points per game53.0
24.0Point differential-24.0

Team form

Lithuania U20
Overall WLWLW Net +20.0
Home WLW Net +27.6
Away WLW Net +14.6
Croatia U20 (Zh)
Overall LWLWL Net -38.2
Home WWL Net -7.0
Away LLL Net -63.2

Team stats

Lithuania U20 Overall · Home/Away Croatia U20 (Zh)
66.7%H 80.0% · A 57.1%Win %22.2%H 50.0% · A 0.0%
20.0H 27.6 · A 14.6Point differential-38.2H -7.0 · A -63.2
77.3H 85.8 · A 71.1Points per game60.8H 62.5 · A 59.4
67.3H 72.0 · A 63.9Conceded79.9H 66.0 · A 91.0
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half33.3H 75.0 · A 0.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Lithuania U20 Total (over) Croatia U20 (Zh)
77.3 Points per game 60.8
66.7%
O 70.5среднее
22.2%
66.7%
O 71.5
11.1%
66.7%
O 72.5
11.1%
66.7%
O 73.5
11.1%
66.7%
O 74.5
11.1%
58.3%
O 75.5
11.1%
58.3%
O 76.5
11.1%
41.7%
O 77.5
11.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Lithuania U20 Total (over) Croatia U20 (Zh)
8.3%
O 106.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 107.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 109.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 110.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 111.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 112.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 113.5
0.0%

Points by period

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Lithuania U20 — / Croatia U20 (Zh) —

Lithuania U20 Total (over) Croatia U20 (Zh)
33.3%
O 40.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 41.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 42.5
0.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
0.0%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lithuania U20 - Croatia U20 (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 126.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 127.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
2.70 37.0%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.65 60.6%
2.70 37.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.88 53.2%
2.40 41.7%
1.93 51.8%
2.75 36.4%
2.40 41.7%
2.15 46.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.95 33.9%
2.60 38.5%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 126.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 127.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 128.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 129.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 130.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 131.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 132.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 133.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 134.5 1.84 54.4% 2.55 39.2%
Over 135.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 136.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 137.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 138.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 139.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 142.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 134.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 142.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.11 90.1% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
5.40 18.5% 3.70 27.0% 4.18 23.9%