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European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals

Poland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh)

Basketball
Poland U20 (Zh)
Poland U20 (Zh)
91 : 60
Finished
Italy U20 (Zh)
Italy U20 (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poland U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 88.2%
2 11.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Poland U20 (Zh)
6-4WWLWLWWLWL
points for 77.1points against 69.2
Italy U20 (Zh)
6-4WWLWLWWLWL
points for 77.1points against 69.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Poland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 119.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 120.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% 2.15 46.5%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.88 53.2%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 2.65 37.7%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 2.15 46.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.95 51.3%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 119.5 — 1.53 65.4%
Over 120.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 121.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 122.5 — 1.78 56.2%
Over 123.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 124.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 125.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 126.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 127.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 128.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 129.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 130.5 1.89 52.9% 1.50 66.7%
Over 131.5 1.84 54.4% —
Over 133.5 1.84 54.4% —
Under 130.5 1.79 55.9% —
Under 131.5 1.84 54.4% —
Under 133.5 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.03 97.1% 2.08 48.1%
1.74 57.5% 7.70 13.0% 1.73 57.8%