European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Poland U20 — 52%
Model estimate: win Lithuania U20 47.8%, win Poland U20 52.2%. Model favourite — Poland U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lithuania U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -11.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -10.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -16.5 | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 -17.5 | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| П2 -18.5 | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 -19.5 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 -20.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -21.5 | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 -22.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -23.5 | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| П2 -24.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -25.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 149.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТБ 150.5 | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 151.5 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 152.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТБ 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 154.5 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 155.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 156.5 | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 157.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТБ 158.5 | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 159.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| ТБ 160.5 | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 161.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 162.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 163.5 | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 164.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТМ 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.12 89.3% |
| П2 | 5.20 19.2% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.00 16.7% |
Lithuania U20
Serbia U20
Latvia U20
Poland U20
Latvia U20
Serbia U20
Full head-to-head historyLithuania U20 - Poland U20
