Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Czechia - Estonia

Basketball
Czechia
Czechia
75 : 73
Finished
Estonia
Estonia
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Czechia55%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Czechia - Estonia July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Estonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 44.0%
2 56.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Czechia
#28 ptsGP 53-2
Estonia
#18 ptsGP 53-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins3
84.3Points on average87.3

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 171.5 (points)

Team form

Czechia
6-4WWWLLWWWLL
points for 88.5points against 85.0
Estonia
5-5LWLLWLWLWW
points for 81.2points against 78.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Czechia
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Estonia
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Czechia
163 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 76
  • Concedes: 87
Estonia
131 points/match (over 2)
  • Scores: 73
  • Concedes: 58
Total line: 166.5 · projection from form: 147 · Over in 0% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Czechia - Estonia

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 140.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 141.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%
1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 2.65 37.7%
1.37 73.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.80 35.7%
2.35 42.6%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 140.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 141.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 142.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 143.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 144.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 145.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 146.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 147.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 148.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 149.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 150.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 151.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 152.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 153.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 166.5 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2%
Under 166.5 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Czechia
L
03.07 15:00 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Czechia 76:87 Sweden
0 Wins
1 Losses
76.0 Scored
87.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Estonia
W
03.07 14:00 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Estonia 93:62 Slovenia
1 Wins
0 Losses
93.0 Scored
62.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCzechia - Estonia

Czechia
0 matches total
Estonia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history